JPAnalyst

JPAnalyst OP t1_jeg0h2x wrote

Chart: Excel

Source: Pro Football Reference

Description: This chart shows the season-by-season accumulation for each of the top ten QBs for career interceptions. They come from different eras, many from the '60s-'70s when interceptions rates averaged in the 5-6% range (today it is 2.3%). For some perspective about interceptions in the '60s, George Blanda once threw 42 interceptions in a 14-game season but made the Pro Bowl and was 2nd team All-Pro.

Brett Favre, the all-time leader in interceptions played in an era where interception rates (high-3% to low-4%) were much lower than most of these guys on this list, but higher than it is today.

For those who don't follow American football. Interceptions are a bad thing. But generally speaking, to be on this list, you need longevity, and to have longevity in the league, you must be good. This is a bad stat, accumulated by mostly good / great quarterbacks. It's only one stat and does not reflect their overall performance. There are Hall of Famers on this list.

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JPAnalyst t1_jdrbbu5 wrote

But he’s a tight end. I don’t care how “hard it is to call him one”. He’s a gadget player, his team lists him as a tight end, your link lists him as a tight end, pro football reference lists him as a tight end in 2022. Gadget players aren’t starting quarterbacks. I watch football, I write about football, I analyze football. I don’t understand why you dismiss everything I say, especially considering you’ve never attempted to engage with football content before, which is evident in all of your comments as well as what other people have said to you.

Less doubling down and more listening will get you much further.

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JPAnalyst t1_jdr89hw wrote

Not only are they pointless. The OP just doubles down when you try to explain why they aren’t looking at things the right way. And they clearly don’t understand the game of football. I’ve had some frustrating conversations with them on my post.

And I agree, both of our analyses are impacted by survivorship bias. If you get to this point, you’re the best in the world. But within that context it’s still worth proving that height doesn’t make much (or any) difference. A slight build might make a difference in injury risk, but that’s a story for another day.

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JPAnalyst t1_jdqvd03 wrote

Now go down to 2022 and look at the position “TE”. His position has changed.

Now go to the Saints official roster on their website. They employ him, they should know. They list him as a TE https://www.neworleanssaints.com/team/players-roster/taysom-hill/

If this guy would be a good quarterbacks, he would be a starting QB. NFL teams know a lot more than KJ6BWB.

You haven’t followed football. You’re not in your lane which is okay, but what’s bad is you’re not willing to listen to anyone. Dunning-Kruger is real.

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JPAnalyst t1_jdqq5is wrote

Again, you missing so much context because you don’t understand football. T.Hill is listed as a Tight End, he has very few throws because he throws on gadget plays. His Y/A is the result of a small sample size and the element of surprise on said gadget plays. He should not play more at QB. You don’t understand the subject matter, just because you can plot two things or divide two numbers doesn’t mean you should.

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JPAnalyst t1_jdqmxte wrote

Just stop. First you were dismissive of their yards per attempt metric because it didn’t measure enough things. OP addressed that and explained that it’s fairly comprehensive and any other metric would be directionally similar, so now you’ve moved on to criticizing something else because your first attempt was addressed. You just want to hear yourself talk and be critical for the sake of being critical.

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JPAnalyst t1_jdqlxt3 wrote

And the two charts you link to were an effort to respond to my chart which started this parade of QB height scatter plots. https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/121pvx7/oc_nfl_quarterbacks_of_passes_batted_down/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf

In my chart, which was not an attempt to evaluate QB effectiveness against height, but an attempt to evaluate one aspect of quarterbacking...batted balls.

There is widely assumed belief that shorter QBs will have their passes batted down more frequently which is proven to be false in my analysis. People point to players such as Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray who are short and have passes batted down often, but these two commonly used examples are not the rule which is evident in my chart. That’s was the point of my analysis, to either prove or disprove that narrative wasn’t sure which way it would go when I started, but it was clear when I finished.

The person who created the other two weird and flawed charts was aggressively critical of my analysis and thought they would create something more meaningful. It’s clear that they don’t understand football or analytics. So here we are. Then this OP responded to them, and this OP gets it.

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JPAnalyst t1_jdqhf83 wrote

You’re looking at volume here when you need to be looking at efficiency. Players who throw more pass for more yards. This needs to be done as yards per attempt if you’re trying to glean anything meaningful out of this. And you would benefit in using a sample size of more than one season. For Example Russell Wilson’s 2023 is absolutely not indicative of the QB he has been throughout his career. Same with Tua. You’ve got an again Joe Flacco listed at 1,000 yards because he’s done, he has one foot out the door and his 2023 shouldn’t be the data used to judge his effective as it relates to his height. This is extremely flawed for so many reasons. If you aren’t looking at a players efficiency (again, not volume) over a longer period of time, you’re going to be led to a wrong conclusion.

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JPAnalyst t1_jdqcznz wrote

You made a chart that shows the more people try to do a thing, the more that thing happens? Of course it does. The more darts I throw the more that hit the board. The more I step on the gas the more miles my car goes. This is absurd, particularly because it’s an attempt to one up my chart that you ripped yesterday.

If your goal is to find outliers, you simply use a table or bar chart of quarterbacks’ yards per attempt. (Y/A, NY/A, or ANY/A)

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JPAnalyst t1_jd0qjjq wrote

>But sometimes it's not worth spending time on something that doesn't bring anything.

That’s not your call, that’s OPs call. If OP thinks it’s fun and looks cool and they enjoy it, then it brings something.

>The static plot would give as much information, but we wouldn't have to wait for the end and pause to actually read the whole plot.

Agreed. But that’s not my point.

>But people are free to do it. Just like we are free to inform these people that it adds nothing.

Never said you aren’t free. I just find it amusing how everyone gets their feathers ruffled and feels the need to tell EVERY OP about it EVERY time. I’m free to make that comment. Now let’s watch the thread get flooded with comments just like yours.

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