fins4ever

fins4ever t1_iu4hf81 wrote

I would definitely say Kuster is the favorite, but she could be in trouble if there's a landslide, which looks possible. Honestly to some extent Burns' lack of visibility has actually been a good thing for him. I imagine a number of voters might vote for him simply out of dissatisfaction with the incumbent party, knowing little about him personally

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fins4ever t1_iu4ba72 wrote

Well the NH1 and NH2 sample might be significantly different. I would think that either the NH2 poll is being too generous, NH1 too harsh, or more likely probably both. It is certainly a bit odd. Maybe there could be an ideological shift in NH2 also? I know Republicans have made big inroads in the north country and the Claremont area the last few years

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fins4ever t1_iu3ysgo wrote

NH Journal and Granite Grok are both conservative but NH Journal is much more establishment conservative. As to the poll, quite possible it had bad sampling data. I wouldn't say NH 2 is safe dem, but it certainly leans that way. If dems do lose it, they've probably lost very badly nationwide.

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