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DungeonsAndDradis t1_j31loh3 wrote

Reply to comment by ChronoPsyche in 2022 was the year AGI arrived (Just don't call it that) by sideways

Just like the WaitButWhy picture, right now we're on the left side of the exponential curve, where the AI is "brain damaged" and with a tiny shift in the timeframe, we're on the right side of the exponential curve where the AI "makes Einstein look brain damaged."

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ChronoPsyche t1_j31pnq4 wrote

The curve reaches back to the agricultural revolution, so a little shift can be anywhere from years to decades. I personally think we'll get AGI by 2030. We definitely don't have it yet though. It's also not clear if LLMs are sufficient for AGI.

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