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ihateshadylandlords t1_j6itdj0 wrote

Cops, paramedics, firefighters, face-to-face sex workers, physical/massage/mental/occupational therapists, k-12 teachers, daycare teachers, doctors, surgeons, construction workers, tradesmen, nurses and nursing assistants will be the last to go in my opinion.

I’m sure I can think of more, but that’s off the top of my head.

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sumane12 t1_j6jpzsg wrote

Agree with everything apart from doctors and surgeons

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CHARRO-NEGRO t1_j6k8ygk wrote

Doctor here! They need us to be blamed if something happens! The companies won’t take that responsibility

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Grouchy-Friend4235 t1_j6kopd9 wrote

You are sadly mistaken on that one. AI will make far fewer errors and those that happen will be an easy win in court. MDs have shown in the pandemic that they have literally no clue.

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CHARRO-NEGRO t1_j6n28h9 wrote

Totally agree, i knows AI will be better at many levels, for example, in those patients with 20 medications will be easy to know if there’s a contraindication between them. But my point is the responsibility. Here other example: two autonomous teslas has a crash, is the company tesla or the owners of the cars the responsible? Who’s going to pay? Who pays the insurance?

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Hello_Hurricane t1_j6km1be wrote

I wonder if you could program AI to sign things with squiggles and other indecipherable text. I'd say, at that point, you may well be out of a job!

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T51bwinterized t1_j6kn7cv wrote

The thing about doctors and nurses is that it's a profession where supply doesn't remotely meet demand. There is a huge leeway for efficiency upgrades without job loss in the field.

Eventually every modern profession will be obsolete. But ones with more "slack" for effeciency increase will take longer

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Honest_Switch1531 t1_j6khr3n wrote

AI doctors will be much better than human ones. Its impossible for a human doctor to know about every possible illness. There will probably still be a need for a trained technician to do tests etc.

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p0rty-Boi t1_j6kityn wrote

And they will lack inherent human biases hopefully.

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turbospeedsc t1_j6khclk wrote

you can have nurses taking symptoms (if not he patient itself), the AI will give you a "pre-diagnosis" then a doctor signs on it, you can replace 5 doctors with one and 2-3 nurses.

Surgeons will take longer, just a 30-40% on staff reductions for hospitals is too good to let go.

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ecnecn t1_j6lp305 wrote

I have seen doctors in oncology sector that really did nothing - have all the tools to dig further (molecular tumor boards, advanced marker tester, leftover experimental antibody drug conjugates from studies, access to newest cyberknife) and literally subscribing the same chemo for every case no matter how special some genetics are, no matter if people have multiple or just oligometastases etc. Ignoring some conditions and side effects till its too late for certain patients. I have seen so many worrying cases that I prefer an AI Doctor in such cases with a broader overview.

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starstruckmon t1_j6l0a56 wrote

Very few patients are going to be okay with robotic surgery that isn't supervised by a doctor. It doesn't even matter if it's technically better. Patients are just not going to trust it. Same with pilots. Even if it's fully auto-pilot they'll want someone to take control if something goes wrong. Trains are much easier to automate yet they still have an engineer/driver.

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amiss8487 t1_j6ka8s6 wrote

They have some pretty amazing nurse robots

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ecnecn t1_j6loque wrote

I wonder if they all work together in one big public service tower in the future ;)

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[deleted] t1_j6iwbrv wrote

[deleted]

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CheesyFriesAreBest1 t1_j6iwxbc wrote

Blockbuster would like to have a word with you

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[deleted] t1_j6ixo3r wrote

[deleted]

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lovesdogsguy t1_j6jf3i5 wrote

I don't think that's the best analogy. We're heading straight towards the vertical side of the exponential growth curve here. I mean, if we're not, then what's this sub for?

We clearly are — either we're already on it, or just about to hit it. There's going to be a deluge of tech / AI advancement over just the next 3 - 5 years. It's not going to replace everyone that quickly though; most companies are very slow to adapt.

I'm in Europe. If you're looking for job security, get a state / government job. I think they'll keep a lot of those jobs around just 'because'.

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monsieurpooh t1_j6lce4v wrote

I'm inclined to agree somewhat; however, we've always been saying that. For 10, 20, 30 years we've been saying "now we're really at the point where it's gonna be vertical." By the way, a fun fact about exponential curves is there is no such thing as "knee of the curve" because everywhere on the curve is the "knee of the curve".

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natepriv22 t1_j6j7g1n wrote

Don't prepare for the future, live in the present

Literally one of the most destructive ideas in history and the present.

Ironically by giving this advice you are more likely to doom someone to job obsolescence...

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Absolute-Nobody0079 t1_j6k90ij wrote

Live in the present is a really botched translation of Buddha's teaching.

It's actually closer to 'be focused and diligent to present.'

See, I hate hippie translators.

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Cryptizard t1_j6jg1rm wrote

We have no way to know what is going to happen, even in the near future. Any job could be replace. Better to study something you are interested in, at least it will be personally fulfilling to you.

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monsieurpooh t1_j6lds65 wrote

It mainly applies to specific situations especially where one might use it as an excuse to not do something you want. In 2018 I was onboarded as the musical composer for a short film. ETA for this film was 2 whole years. At that time we already had VQGAN and GPT-2 (maybe GPT-3 I don't remember) and various AI composers like Jukebox. I was thinking wow by the time we're done we'll have AI-generated TV shows and music already. But we still don't have human-level AI movies/music today, and we finished the short film and it's called Let's Eat on youtube.

In 2021 I was playing with GPT-3 Da Vinci on OpenAI and realized it was possible to make a game like AI Dungeon except have it actually be a game. I was like wow by the time I'm done making this game we'll have AI-generated 3D games. But we don't yet really, and AI Roguelite is now on Steam.

There are now tons of people lamenting their choice of majority in CS or whatever just because some AI can sort of write code. They wish they'd been a plumber or whatever. But we don't actually know yet how much the demand for programmers will downsize, if at all.

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rixtil41 t1_j6jzn27 wrote

I agree somewhat but these things don't come out of nowhere. So you can't know for certain but you can still see hints and clues as it's going to happen.

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RabidHexley t1_j6k3jse wrote

Agreed. Not only because the technology doesn't yet exist. But because once it does it's impossible to accurately predict how it will be adopted and implemented by various industries on wildly unpredictable timelines, and what the actual impact would be once they did.

There's simply far too much to speculate on for any practical advice to be meaningful in this regard.

I think even when people aren't overestimating the rate AI tech will progress, they do overestimate how rapidly its effects will be felt in our actual lives. Once new tech is actually viable there's still significant delays before it's actually implemented, even AI is subject to this. Even if an AGI came out tomorrow, it will still likely be at least a decade before our lives we drastically changed by its development.

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rixtil41 t1_j6k4unn wrote

let's see if your opinion changes in 2029.

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RabidHexley t1_j6k9ko7 wrote

We'll see, I'm not an oracle, but things rarely develop that quickly in the real world. Name a technology that was invented (the point where it became actually viable to use) and didn't have a pretty lengthy turnaround to being actually implemented in widely used products or industries. Many fields may be downsized in the coming decade, but it is impossible to predict the degree.

If anything could be considered a good bet, it's that "menial mental labor" tasks will be phased out first. Typing up/evaluating reports, rote clerical tasks, data entry, etc. These are the types of tasks currently coming AI tech will have the easiest time actually replacing humans for.

Talking specifically about the types of tasks we'd typically want someone highly trained or educated for (since the question is being asked about someone going to college). Not speaking to labor in general.

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bortvern t1_j6je90w wrote

I recommend doing what you like to do. Understand that AI incorporation into the workforce will happen quickly, but it won't be overnight. There will be many roles that will be "AI augmented," before they're completely transitioned. Study something you're genuinely interested in, then worry about that fits into the workforce when you're ready to get a job.

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Sandbar101 t1_j6im3ne wrote

Construction management. Not because it cant be automated, hell its probably one of the easier ones. But rather because nobody in this industry uses any technology made after 1985.

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YobaiYamete t1_j6j3rni wrote

I dunno about that, when I did construction people were constantly finding new cutting edge tech. People would constantly show up with laser levels and new types of dremels and oscillating multi tools etc.

Maybe it was just the dudes in my area, but most were super open to adopting new tech that made their lives easier. Most would use it like show and tell to show their latest gadgets each week lol

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94746382926 t1_j6k3pe8 wrote

I think it depends on whether or not the company is buying them lol.

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civilrunner t1_j6j7xy5 wrote

Non-jokingly, construction general contractors that work on renovating old buildings will likely have work for a while and be one of the last replaced. Similarly surgeons (especially more general surgeons), hair cutters, ER doctors, really any physical labor job that requires a high level of flexibility in tasks especially in higher risk scenarios. They will all be augmented with AI tools, but likely not entirely replaced till most others are replaced as well. Anything that requires a professional license may also take time for society to not require a licensed overseer of an AI for things like signing off on designs, diagnoses, prescriptions, etc..

I suspect for new construction we'll be able to make it more automated by designing joints and methods in an easier to automate manner as well as incorporate more factory automation in the build process. For this reason it could be that in time old houses end up being a luxury commodity that wealthy people collect similar to old cars. However, hopefully that collecting is limited enough to not limit housing construction so that we can better meet demand (unlike today). In not that long it could easily be cheaper to tear down an old house and modernize it rather than renovate or repair it (assuming local building regulations allow you to).

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AdorableBackground83 t1_j6ik97m wrote

Professional athlete perhaps.

I don’t know of an advanced robot/artificial intelligence right now that can walk onto an NBA court and drop a 100 point triple double.

But all jokes aside. Pretty much all normal every day human jobs are gonna be automated within the next 30-40 years tops.

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Redditing-Dutchman t1_j6k0eyd wrote

Athletes and dancers for example will always be there. What would even be the point of watching a robot run the 100 meter for example? If you already make robot legs better than human legs then why not just use wheels. Not everything makes sense to automate. Humans will always want to see what humans can do, in sports and theater and such. A basketball team of robots would become a competition of which team has the best programmers, not which players have the best skill. It would be fun to watch once but then I want to see human players again.

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erkjhnsn t1_j6kccrk wrote

I disagree. Any service based business or labour jobs will be required for a very long time.

Our AI technology will rocket forward, but a full takeover of the workforce is limited by our advancements in robotics, which is limited by many factors, mostly energy requirements and batteries. Even if we do have sufficient tech to have robots take some of these jobs, humans will be much cheaper.

I think this sub forgets that service-based and labour jobs are >50% of the workforce because most people here (and on reddit in general) have desk jobs, often in tech.

What kind of technology would you need to replace a plumber to come to your house? What about a gardener? Or a furnace repair technician? Each would require entirely different sets of tools and hardware even if they are fucking genius, sentient AI. I think we are still very far away from that.

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neneksihira t1_j6le1zf wrote

Exactly, interpersonal relationship-based work and jobs involving a variety of physical tasks will be hardest to automate as robotics is a long way behind computing right now.

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Bierculles t1_j6k7cs7 wrote

Imagine robot nba, it starts with robots slowely replacing bottom rung players and 50 years later it's just a field full of hyperoptimized machines boosting over the field and dribbling so fast the games are watched in slow motion because otherwise nobody has a clue whats going on.

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GodOfThunder101 t1_j6isf3u wrote

You won’t be obsolete for the next 20 years. Don’t let these theories ruin your life. Take college seriously.

I’m a mechanical engineering student and can say that engineers will be around for a long time.

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natepriv22 t1_j6iy7z6 wrote

Famous last words...

I would suggest not giving estimates of times, as they are likely false considering the exponential nature of AI and disruptive development.

A breakthrough is considered impossible right up until the day it happens.

Remember how sure artists were of the industry.

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GodOfThunder101 t1_j6izgll wrote

Making a career now is better than doing nothing and waiting for some machine to do it for you. AGI could happen in 10 years or 100 years. It is not wise to live life thinking AGI will do everything for us, because right now it’s still fantasy and experts can be wrong.

So I don’t understand your point, do you think OP should not go to college and not try at all?

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natepriv22 t1_j6jb8rn wrote

Absolutely not! Of course doing nothing and waiting around would be def defeatist, and probably the worst idea here.

But it's a good idea to start preparing and doing research. Game out future scenarios, so that you can better anticipate or at least adapt to change when it happens.

Best not to specialize or become an expert in just one field or industry. The chance of it becoming automated is very high. If someone specializes and gain knowledge and experience in many fields they will be more adaptable and ready for change. Learn always!

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rixtil41 t1_j6k68k5 wrote

I think op should go to college for a better knowledge, not for better pay. It should be knowledge focused not money.

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MrCensoredFace OP t1_j6kvduy wrote

I do have an interest in welding tho. The problem is is that mom dad want me to have nice white collar job...

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[deleted] t1_j6iyh8v wrote

[deleted]

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natepriv22 t1_j6j7krx wrote

https://www.ml-science.com/exponential-growth#:~:text=The%20exponential%20growth%20of%20AI,(doubling%20every%202%20years).

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[deleted] t1_j6j9plx wrote

[deleted]

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natepriv22 t1_j6jbyvm wrote

Yeah and it also specifically states that: as computation has increased, AI systems have become more powerful too.

Exponential development is the norm not linear growth.

The universe's is exponential. The development of life on earth is exponential. The development of technology is exponential.

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civilrunner t1_j6j916u wrote

It also doesn't even matter when automation happens. I'm a practicing mechanical design engineer. I fully expect one day my work will be automated and before that highly augmented, but by the time my work isn't needed we'll have so much societal wealth and productivity that UBI and such will be easily affordable and generous.

The only thing that matters is that your job isn't one of the first to be fully automated (not just augmented) before the major wave of automation occurs and if it is that you can transfer to another. As long as your job is automated with the major wave of automation then you'll be fine since society will adapt to it and we'll have the resources to easily do so.

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anxious-bi-curious t1_j6j3852 wrote

Blowjobs

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2501AAdd t1_j6k7onk wrote

This escalated quickly but not as quickly as I thought…

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Leading-Leading6718 t1_j6jnxzx wrote

Plumber

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monsieurpooh t1_j6lcom8 wrote

I keep seeing this, but there's nothing special about plumbing compared to any other manual job requiring AGI and a humanoid robot. These include a huge umbrella of jobs e.g. construction, police, etc

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Leading-Leading6718 t1_j6lo4ca wrote

I just see pluming as a manual labor job that encompasses so much of the challenges AI and robotics are on the opposite side of solving. I know other manual labor jobs share in complex challenges as well but this seems to stick out. Moreover, to quote GPT-3, 'Plumbers require a combination of manual dexterity and technical knowledge, which can be difficult for robots to replicate. Additionally, plumbing work often involves working in tight spaces, making it challenging for robots to access and maneuver in these environments. Furthermore, the unpredictable nature of plumbing problems and the need for critical thinking and problem-solving skills make it difficult for robots to fully replace plumbers.'

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bobyouger t1_j6m2qc3 wrote

I don’t think my grandchildren’s grandchildren will see a world with capable plumbing robots.

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vegita1022 t1_j6m5d2l wrote

courtesy of chatGPT joke generator: Why did Mario still have plumbing jobs even when AI took over? Because AI couldn't fix pipes as quick as Mario could spin-jump!

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PandaCommando69 t1_j6irfzk wrote

I don't know but this piece of advice has helped guide me over the years: "the person knows how will always find a job, but the person who knows why will always be their boss." Also, don't take on student debt if you can avoid it--that'll just hamstring your options as time goes by. Personally I think AI will usher in a new era--just like the PC and the internet did--and like before we'll adapt and learn to leverage digital tools; creating new jobs/industries. I suspect the AI trajectory will be similar.

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lutel t1_j6itx5m wrote

Data humanizator

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olivesnolives t1_j6kr3i6 wrote

Hardware is decades behind software. Everyone thought that truckers were going to he the first major profession to be replaced by AI in the West - turns out it will probably be artists, copy editors, and admin folks who work in the virtual world.

Realistically the answer you need to hear is the most AI-proof career design would involve ditching the college degree (unless there is a program that is REALLY calling you) and picking up a skillset that is tactile - a trade or something of that sort.

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turbospeedsc t1_j6ktv98 wrote

This is it, replacing a plumber with robotics sounds hard AF, i new construction if everything is exactly like the plans are maybe and huge maybe.

Old construction where it may have countless patches, tricks and half assed jobs the last 50 years, forget it.

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Valnaya t1_j6j2kcq wrote

Forget about AI and study what makes you happy and something you’re interested in. Human beings will still have jobs in the future, AI or not.

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Beatboxamateur t1_j6jrm4y wrote

I heard an interesting idea that baby/kid caretakers will be the last jobs that only humans can do, because for the foreseeable future, even a robot more intelligent than a human won't be able to give the human touch/care that babies need to develop.

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Honest_Switch1531 t1_j6kjw5n wrote

Child care workers are some of the lowest paid workers around. The quality of your average child care worker is very low. I would trust a good robot over a poorly trained 20yo any day

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Ashamed-Asparagus-93 t1_j6ks1ui wrote

Same because the bot can just call you if something goes wrong or have live video so you can check in without having boring conversations with the sitter

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Beatboxamateur t1_j6l9ymn wrote

I'm counting mothers/parents in this too(although there are also a lot of shit parents), but the general idea still stands, that babies/young children need human input to learn language and basic communication skills. Your entire personality is formed in your early formative years, and that's heavily dictated how you were raised, what kind of body and facial expressions you acquired via the people around you, as well as language. I don't think it'll be so easy for AIs to replace mothers and other people who raise young children. I wasn't referring specifically to the work itself, just the importance of the human interaction.

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ObieKaybee t1_j6lakea wrote

At that point, you wouldn't need to do it as a job, as (ideally) parents would be taking care of their own children and not have to work in the first place.

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Beatboxamateur t1_j6laxk2 wrote

That's true, my comment was less about the job itself and more about something that can't be replaced by AI so easily. The human interaction you get as a baby/young kid basically dictates your whole personality and language, etc.

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mehnotsure t1_j6juzm7 wrote

Study literature, philosophy, economics, and history. Get straight A’s. You’ll be adaptable and wise.

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hducug t1_j6jxnhe wrote

The STEM jobs

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turbospeedsc t1_j6ki2g0 wrote

Those will be the first, with AI the last guy to go will be the one cleaning the toilets.

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hducug t1_j6olh2v wrote

Nah man, the whole idea of the ai singularity is that ai can do the jobs of scientists better.

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turbospeedsc t1_j6orm1f wrote

Thats the utopical, in reality corps will try to replace as many people as possible.

I posted this several times, but manual labor requires a lot of resources to be replaced, knowledge based jobs not so much, once they have a solution figured out for lets say, accountants, its just a matter of scale and you can deploy 10,100, 1000 ,100,000 instances and replace Max the accountant that you pay 160k a year.

With manual labor you need specific solutions for each problem lets say cleaning, Bob the maintenace guy, can mop floors, fix leaking pipes, change lightbulbs, fix sagging doors, do minor paint jobs to build robot than can do all those tasks is very complex, the robotics and the software sides.

You pay Bob 40k a year..... It's cheaper to keep Bob and fire Max.

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Bram06 t1_j6jyx7t wrote

Legislator.

The job of legislator is one that is mostly value-dependent rather than competency-dependent.

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Bierculles t1_j6k7xxo wrote

Hookers, no matter how real the machines look and feel, there will always be people willing to pay cash for the real thing.

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turbospeedsc t1_j6ki6ez wrote

I been thinking this and is true may be the 1st and last profession on earth.

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Absolute-Nobody0079 t1_j6k8pw8 wrote

Any kind of skilled manual labor that requires all limbs and finger dexterity all at once.

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cannibalisland t1_j6klhbs wrote

i think suicide prevention will continue to be a growth industry.

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EyeLikePie t1_j6j48hu wrote

Being intelligent, teachable, and well-rounded will never be obsolete. The fact that you're even tracking these issues and trying to make smart decisions about them puts you ahead of 80, maybe 90% or more of the general public. Study something you're interested in, and keep an eye on the horizon for emerging opportunities in the field. That's it.

Also don't take on a lot of student debt. Shit's poison.

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axel2190 t1_j6j4wwn wrote

I think engineers will be around for a while. I wouldn’t be worried. You have to realize that AI isn’t an end all be all solution for all our the world’s problems. As it becomes more complex and applicable for a wider variety of applications, you’re gonna see some really niche uses for it. There’s always gonna have to be people who have to give the AI an input and interpret its output.

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DIY83 t1_j6jb000 wrote

Might be unpopular, but a specialized craft will be very hard for ai or robotics to automate. I work in a company that specialized in high accuracy punching tools. Just imagining to teach a robot to use an EDM machine or service them is a nightmare. All the small details how to achieve the desired result will take decades until the technology is affordable, especially for smaller more specialized companies.

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XPao t1_j6jk1mb wrote

I would say daycare/kindergarten staff. Parents just want someone to look after their babies for a while and robots are out of question for that.

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StarChild413 t1_j6k54wn wrote

any job (ranging from those in politics to live theater) where to do better than a human AI would need to be so humanlike it becomes ethically questionable to let it take all our jobs

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islet_deficiency t1_j6kf2i7 wrote

I think it's more important to consider/evaluate your inherent strengths and find the jobs that require them. Don't consider what will be around the longest.

There are very few occupations that will be wholly replaced by AI in our lifetimes. Instead, start learning how ai will/can allow you to do your tasks better. When you graduate and hit the workforce, you'll be able to outcompete your peers with the help of the AI.

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No_Airline_1790 t1_j6ki0zm wrote

Think human interacting face to face careers.

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Honest_Switch1531 t1_j6kieve wrote

Engineering will probably be one of the first professions to be mostly replaced by AI. There will still be a need for people who can come up with ideas for AI to design though, or to sort through the AI designs to find ones that can be marketed.

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fjaoaoaoao t1_j6kitys wrote

I don’t think this is the approach to take. There’s so many possibilities of what could happen and how it could impact workers. Additionally, college is just college; while your major will impact your career significantly, it’s very common to change paths in your life.

That being said it’s good to stay abreast of more immediate trends and make smaller career adjustments based on that.

If you really want an answer to your OG question though, some form of entrepreneur will always be around ;)

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Business-Tonight9995 t1_j6kja69 wrote

Multimedia Entertainment, i think the demand for human made Movies, Tv, Music, Comedy, etc will always be around

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Red0Adrenaline t1_j6kjf2o wrote

Software engineers. In order for ai to write software, the person wanting the software needs to be able to describe exactly what they want. Only software engineers could prompt an ai specifically enough to get viable software out of it.

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u0105 t1_j6kss6c wrote

Mech is a great option!

I have friends who have now completed their PhD in mech working in extremely niche topics in ic engines. To he honest even before ai its the ic engine cars that would become obsolete, but they're not concerned

The thing is the list of problems is immensely long. And ai like chat gpt only display that power of AI not its full blown application.

We can't fully trust an AI generated solution today. You can test chat gpt on many rudimentary topics and it fails. So there always has to be a human element in advanced designs.

You would even expect f1 teams to employ just AI to design and optimize but they have a full team of engineers working just on aerodynamics

Also, ai will open newer jobs, like AI aided design etc. Problems will never end.

To be fair i as a computer science student am more concerned as ai can write codes better but the more I study I understand there are many areas which AI can't crack in some time. So problems will evolve, will become tougher. But human elements will sustain.

All the best!

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bloxxed t1_j6kv0fd wrote

Hey OP. As a fellow college student obsessed with all things automation and AI, I've also spent countless hours panicking about my future and whether or not I'll be employable in any fields that interest me. I've been thinking on it lately after recently switching majors to comp sci, and my perspective is this:

If GPT 4 or GPT 5 or whatever model that releases this year or a few more years down the road really does end up outright replacing all or at least a significant portion of people employed in knowledge-based nonphysical work, then not only you and me, but everyone, has some pressing concerns.

At one point during the COVID pandemic in 2020, over one third of the entire work force was working remotely from home. For reference, one third of the US workforce is around 50 million people. This is the number of people that stand to be rendered unemployed relatively quickly by AI.

What I'm getting at is, we can't arrive at the point where more than a third of the work force is out of a job in a short period of time and then expect things to just carry on as they are. Something's got to give. Our current economic paradigm would be turned on its head. This is where I think UBI comes into play, and why I think it isn't all that far off. There aren't really any better short-term solutions to the sudden and severe scale of future unemployment talked about on this sub. I don't think the doomer take of "they'll just let everyone starve" is all that realistic. Contrary to what many think 50 million angry unemployed people are ultimately going to make their grievances heard, be it through peaceful or violent methods.

Or maybe a black swan scenario of a runaway self-improving AGI pops up out of nowhere in the next few years, in which case we get 1) utopia, or 2) everybody dies. Either way, our worries are over.

I forgot what I was talking about.

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MrCensoredFace OP t1_j6kw6dh wrote

You were talking about future jobs.

Yeah, in any case since all jobs are gonna be replaced, might as well do what i love for a few years...

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fr0_like t1_j6kwud9 wrote

So just because AI is capable of doing a task does not mean it will be implemented to do so. I see a lot of automation occurring at my job, and I also do incident management for when things break down. Code fails sometimes, gets fouled and has to be trouble shot. So even tasks that can be automated don’t always get that treatment. Either it’s not cost effective for the company, or the business owner can’t afford it.

So just because there can be AI doctors, lawyers, cashiers, coders, doesn’t mean there will be 100% application of AI in all instances.

So study up for what you feel you’re best at. The world will always need engineers, medical tech jobs . There’s a huge shortage of information security personnel. Teachers are in short supply. Elder care is a growth field. Graphic artists are still needed, despite AI. Musicians are still needed despite AI. People who can do logistics are needful. Meteorologists need to interpret models AI generates. Astrophysicists still need to program code for how to read data coming from astronomical observation. The list goes on and on. Just think on how your skill set is best maximized in service to your community and educate yourself to be capable, helpful, and ADAPTABLE. The world need creative, flexible, adaptable people.

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Patient-Angle7939 t1_j6kxf30 wrote

Yes a lot of time you invest will be 'wasted', and I am faced with having 'wasted' a huge amount of my time learning languages, programming, etc. etc. This pressure you feel to adapt is actually thrust upon you by people who do not care about your mental health, or humanity thriving as a whole. It is disheartening and normal to feel that our efforts will come to nothing and there are no guarantees. A good question to ponder is why it is that such an 'innovative' and 'groundbreaking' thing can cause such negative impacts and what that portends for the future.

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GPT-5entient t1_j6l1uul wrote

Contractor, plumber, renovator, physical jobs in unpredictable environments are going to be the hardest to replace.

But also I would focus on areas of growth. Mechanical engineering could be good as it applies to robotics which is going to be absolutely huge very soon. Better would be even some kind of specialized robotics degree. Not that these jobs are not going to be augmented by AI, they will be, but there will be huge demand that won't stop until almost everything is automated.

I also think software engineering is gonna do ok, yes, it will be heavily augmented by AI, but as price of software plummets due to productivity gains it could open new avenues of applying software, or improving software, areas for which it is currently too expensive. Robotics is large;y software as well. But the best days are probably coming to an end, sadly. But who knows... Machine learning experts are probably gonna do very well for some time.

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monsieurpooh t1_j6lc1m1 wrote

I keep saying it and I'll say it again... Prostitution. The last jobs to go are those which require either a fully humanoid robot or fully immersive direct-to-brain VR.

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neneksihira t1_j6ldlsj wrote

Jobs that lean heavily on interpersonal relationships and a wide range of physical tasks I'd say. My husband and i work in eco tourism - where people are actively trying to get away from tech and in touch with nature. Things that require complex problem solving and advanced social skills, where you'd be needing to meet and talk with people in person, moves things around or create or repair physical objects. Personally i think engineering will be automated early on as it's very reliant on mathematics which computers have been better at for decades already.

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meatlamma t1_j6liqvx wrote

Anybody who's done some remodeling/construction/handy man stuff, would know these skillsets will be the last ones to succumb to AI. It's just so unpredictable especially dealing with older houses.

I'm an AI dev and also I've done a decent amount of weekend warrior stuff, from plumbing/electrical to drywall/tile to finishing attic and basement. And I always imagine how I would go about training a model for a job at hand. It's basically not possible right now or in immediate future.

It is one thing to generate text, or image, and a whole new level is to control a humanoid robot that can sweat old pipes all on his own or snake new wires for an outlet. If I had to guess, at least 100x number of model parameters than GPT3. And training data? How do you even go about it? We will need to develop new approaches, like continuous learning. And can you imagine the compute you need to do inference with a model the size of GPT3 x 100? All of this in a humanoid robot? Yeah, it is insane. Of course that compute can be in the cloud and the robot is just a drone. Then you need a cloud supporting millions of these humanoid drones. If I had to guess again, we are at least 15 years and more likely 20 away from that.

Don't get me wrong, It will be done, but it will take the longest.

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te_anau t1_j6lnxwb wrote

amish minister

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InevitableProgress t1_j6mq5vq wrote

There are several Jim Keller interviews on the Lex Friedman podcast in which he speaks regarding college. Well worth a listen.

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khamandhokla007 t1_j6mr395 wrote

We need to understand AI and humans to answer this question.

The current nature of AI is, it is super advance and can write, create, store and also imagine via pictures and texts. But it still needs someone to give direction on what to work.

With what technological level we have achieved, I think it will be possible for a single person to run entire company using AI. Maybe not one, but very small group of people could now be able to increase productivity in a company. I feel we would see more small scale businesses rising up.

Next area is, AI development happens too quickly in digital sphere. So whatever fields are there which involves digital measure to convert it into physical form may scale. For example, the work of graphic designer would become super easy but the work of printing may rise because everyone can produce digitally but we still need to go on shop and get it printed. And machines are not cheap than AI is, so printing market is not going anywhere anytime soon.

A company provides value to people and thats why we pay to them. This process of identifying and then producing something requires some more anount of intuitive thinking and some entrepreneurial spitit to make it happen. So either you become the owner or you become an assistant which can use AI to make things happen for the owner.

Things will change drastically and we never know where we going with all this. But we need to adapt with it, thats what we did during industrial revolution, thats what we have to do when AGI will become reality in future.

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Ok-Cheek2397 t1_j6mwlc7 wrote

If you really don’t want ai to replace you Start you own business like a small startup project no matter how smart ai is it can’t replace the business owner

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birdpix t1_j6my7av wrote

Choose that business carefully. Operated a successful professional photography business for nearly 40 years, until digital and cell phone cameras essentially killed most of my industry. Now ai is improving exponentially and coming for visual arts in the near future, so final nail in the coffin.

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No_Ninja3309_NoNoYes t1_j6mxb0s wrote

It's simple really. Look at self driving cars. It took a long time to develop them and they are not exactly replacing people. ChatGPT requires millions to train and run. People are now focusing on Generative AI. It will take them years to get out of this phase because of the sheer complexity and cost.

I know people who were trained as mechanical engineers, but they work in unrelated sectors. My friend, Fred, said that doing bespoke AI engineering in specific companies is not going to work due to the lack of experts and machines. But that is what it will take to make an impact. We don't have AGI yet, so you need specialized data and custom models for each company and job to do proper downsizing. Driving is one of the few exceptions and as I said it has not been successful yet. I don't have a PhD in economics, but I would not worry too much if I were you.

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MrCensoredFace OP t1_j6mxnso wrote

Thanx. Yeah i think I'm being a bit too paranoid. It's just that before all this i wanted to enter artistic fields, but now... Well, you know. So yeah, I'm super skeptical about ai.

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siqiniq t1_j6jmjx3 wrote

When every product and service and the design of future design become like the air we breathe, so plentiful that no one needs to pay for it, however precious they may be, there will be no job, no exchange, no currency, no need for possessions, and no obsession to accumulate things. Our mind will be finally free to imagine something meaningful, without trapping ourselves in wants, without riding on the slave labor of others, without exploiting our environment to an inevitable extinction.

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imnotknow t1_j6jr5q0 wrote

Yes, consider how much less we will need if we don't have to work. We'll need far less property.

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erkjhnsn t1_j6kgarl wrote

It's a nice dream but we are very far from that. This kid is going to have a full career and grow old before that happens. Best for them to go to school.

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Ashamed-Asparagus-93 t1_j6krrfp wrote

I been waiting on the day for awhile. Most ppl worried about their jobs but I'm looking further ahead and trying to decide which planet I'm gonna party on during weekends.

Sounds silly but in the long run it seems my concerns are more meaningful than worrying about something that'll eventually be automated

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savagefishstick t1_j6jzi8m wrote

we don't know, but here are a bunch of random answers anyways:

strippers
prostitutes

Thats all I can think of for now.

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redeggplant01 t1_j6ihp6r wrote

There will always be jobs. Automation to include ( AI ) will not destroy jobs. It will creates surpluses that will allow for the creation of new jobs that could not exist without AI

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