Fish_On_again

Fish_On_again t1_j6ygta0 wrote

Thought this was interesting

>The wintertime NAO also exhibits significant multi-decadal variability (Hurrell 1995, Chelliah and Bell 2005). For example, the negative phase of the NAO dominated the circulation from the mid-1950's through the 1978/79 winter. During this approximately 24-year interval, there were four prominent periods of at least three years each in which the negative phase was dominant and the positive phase was notably absent. In fact, during the entire period the positive phase was observed in the seasonal mean only three times, and it never appeared in two consecutive years.

>An abrupt transition to recurring positive phases of the NAO then occurred during the 1979/80 winter, with the atmosphere remaining locked into this mode through the 1994/95 winter season. During this 15-year interval, a substantial negative phase of the pattern appeared only twice, in the winters of 1984/85 and 1985/ 86. However, November 1995 - February 1996 (NDJF 95/96) was characterized by a return to the strong negative phase of the NAO. Halpert and Bell (1997; their section 3.3) recently documented the conditions accompanying this transition to the negative phase of the NAO.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/teledoc/nao.shtml

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Fish_On_again t1_j6xpzii wrote

When were you a little kid? I grew up in the '80s and '90s in upstate NY, and it was always interesting to see if we would actually get a white Christmas, or have enough ice to drive our trucks on the lakes. Then we had those crazy cold winters in the 2000s and 2010s (Even canandaigua Lake froze!), now it seems like we're back to the winter weather of the '90s and late '80s.

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Fish_On_again t1_iy8xh8v wrote

This is good advice with a caveat. It doesn't apply if you put a lot of miles on your vehicle, or if you're sourcing your vehicle from rust belt areas. You mentioned Ford expedition, you will have ball joints coming up, upper and lower. Do not wait on those. Keep an eye on your sway bar mounts.

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