OutOfBananaException

OutOfBananaException t1_jadycev wrote

They have pretty well stated they can't scrape English data, as it has too much Western bias for their liking. They may be able to filter it, but as we've seen with ChatGPT, it's not straightforward, and things will fall through the cracks. That makes life difficult for censors.

In domains where they have access to large volumes of data that doesn't need heavy curating (outside of text), they should be able to do fine.

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OutOfBananaException t1_jacw2ry wrote

Being aligned to humans may help, but a human aligned AGI is hardly 'safe'. We can't imagine what it means to be aligned, given we can't reach mutual consensus between ourselves. If we can't define the problem, how can we hope to engineer a solution for it? Solutions driven by early AGI may be our best hope for favorable outcomes for later more advanced AGI.

If you gave a toddler the power to 'align' all adults to its desires, plus the authority to overrule any decision, would you expect a favorable outcome?

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OutOfBananaException t1_j9fcep4 wrote

That we disagree illustrates the problem, it's not unusual for there to be fundamentally different ways of seeing the world. It is a fact that the message an author is attempting to deliver, may be missed entirely by some people - and that's not necessarily a failing of the author, or the reader. A chatbot should in principle be able to pick up on this nuance pretty well, given sufficient data. It would need training data feedback from the reader though, which in many cases won't exist initially.

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OutOfBananaException t1_j9f53q7 wrote

By and large humans aren't great at understanding other humans. Understanding a collective of humans (even superficially) is probably one area an AI trained with enough data will truly excel at. Making it a dangerous tool for spreading propaganda, which could be countered by AI readers/filters.

It's simply too much information for any one human to take account for (to model millions of readers), over time I would expect a new category of book to emerge which has minor variations that are tailored to the reader.

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OutOfBananaException t1_iy284tm wrote

Their budget surplus was massive in March, nobody could credibly say they couldn't fund the war at that time. That surplus has shrunk significantly since then, fundamentally different set of circumstances.

You cited Korean war as an example - how much does the Korean war cost their respective governments each year? Stuff all compared to what Russia is spending at the moment.

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OutOfBananaException t1_ixzhu2e wrote

Pretty much, as they keep receiving external support to fix power infrastructure, as well as ammunition - while Russia continues deplete cruise missiles and other critical military hardware that they cannot easily replace while sanctions are in place, and loses revenue with Europe moving away from Russian gas altogether.

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OutOfBananaException t1_ixyf0t7 wrote

Don't need to take my word for it, data on revenue is straight from their ministry. https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-shrinking-budget-surplus-limits-putins-war-options-11668174524

"Data released by the Russian Ministry of Finance on Friday showed that in the year to October, the government budget surplus stood at 128 billion rubles, or around $2.1 billion, down from a surplus of 2.3 trillion rubles in the same period last year."

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