mnamilt
mnamilt t1_j3qd210 wrote
The problem is that nobody reads the definition of Metaculus for what they hold as to be 'Weakly General AI':
It requires a unified system to accomplish 4 tasks. But two of those tasks were already being able to be completed by AI (the Winogrande challenge and playing Montezuma's revenge), one of those tasks might be hard to accomplish due to the requirement (good chance that an AI system has more than 10 sat papers in it, good luck getting that out), and one of the tasks is not defunct.
Aka, I'd rate the ability of a system to meet those 4 requirements probably way earlier than 2027, but thats because the requirements dont seem to hold up great to what the community perceives to be weak AGI. Actual weak AGI id rate way later than the Metaculus question.
mnamilt t1_j01jv32 wrote
Reply to comment by petermobeter in I think this post will be monumentally important for some of you to read. Put it in your brain, think about it, and get ready for the next few years. If you are part of this Subreddit; You are forward thinking, you're already ahead of the curve, you will have one shot to be at an advantage. NOW. by AdditionalPizza
I dont like the hustle-get-rich culture either. Luckily, chatgpt is also great for chill at home things. I use it for cooking recipes. I have a pretty solid idea of what I want to make, often from a recipe from the internet somewhere. Then I ask chatgpt also for that recipe, and see where they differ. It has given me good inspiration to add some extra veggies or spices to dishes. Its a very simple but effective use case.
mnamilt t1_iy8vagr wrote
Reply to How will the space economy alter society? by Gari_305
This book/article gives a pretty solid idea of why robots will do the large majority of work on a space economy: https://www.wired.com/story/end-of-astronauts-robots-space-exploration/
As such, no, The Expanse is not actually a remotely realistic view of a space society. It heavily misunderstands how crazy cheap robots can get, and how crazy expensive human life support will be structurally.
mnamilt t1_iuwqf3e wrote
Reply to comment by LearnDifferenceBot in Robots That Write Their Own Code by kegzilla
I normally hate these bots, but in this specific context this is actually extremely funny.
mnamilt t1_ir7fz1u wrote
Reply to comment by samcrut in Attack of the pizza-making robots by Gari_305
Ahh, that helps a lot to makes sense of it
mnamilt t1_ir73jzn wrote
Pretty big deal, both in the direct result, and in the proof that you can use a game model to generate science models.
mnamilt t1_ir6y1fj wrote
Reply to comment by samcrut in Attack of the pizza-making robots by Gari_305
Intuitively it doesnt really make sense for me that the custom builds make it so much more difficult, but reality also shows that my intuition is clearly wrong lol. Thanks!
mnamilt t1_ir5x2ba wrote
Reply to Attack of the pizza-making robots by Gari_305
So why exactly is making a pizzarobot for a restaurant so hard, when its sort of a solved problem for frozen pizzas?
mnamilt t1_j5y1b56 wrote
Reply to comment by asshole_goose in Amsterdam opens a $65 Million underwater parking garage for bikes by Scarppetta
Getting a visa.