Submitted by strangeattractors t3_zr8n6f in Futurology
Logalicious t1_j12cj4m wrote
Reply to comment by WalterWoodiaz in Greenland's glaciers are melting 100 times faster than estimated by strangeattractors
Right, is it 100% or a 100X? big difference. Either way were still fucked.
WalterWoodiaz t1_j12cqtu wrote
I wouldn’t say fucked. Sea level rise is bad but definitely not a civilization ending disaster. The worst thing about it is that the people who will be most affected are in developing countries that cannot prepare for it
reddolfo t1_j12u4rt wrote
It's not sea level rise, it's the destruction of critical ocean currents, acidity changes, etc. The loss of these threaten the ocean's plankton, responsible for up to 80% of the planet's oxygen, as well as the foundation of the planet's food chain.
Containedmultitudes t1_j146kdg wrote
> ocean currents
Including the Gulf Stream, which is what makes most of Western Europe habitable.
lostindarkdays t1_j15cphv wrote
eh, Europe schmeurope. that David statute guy doesn't do it for me, anyway. too skinny.
Yeuph t1_j13hrao wrote
Fortunately as more CO2 is dissolved into the ocean making it more acidic we have these huge glaciers that can keep melting forever injecting non-acidic water to balance things out.
Yay.
NLwino t1_j13kjlw wrote
Combine that with the fact that we can counter global warming with nuclear winter, we really have nothing to worry about. All is fine, carry on.
Z3r0sama2017 t1_j13quhx wrote
Yep. Same way starvation is easy to counter by eating people, two birds with one stone
CO420Tech t1_j14w7nr wrote
Now I need to go listen to Eat All the Old People
[deleted] t1_j13nflb wrote
[removed]
Gemini884 t1_j14hnw6 wrote
Information on marine biomass decline from recent ipcc report: "Global models also project a loss in marine biomass (the total weight of all animal and plant life in the ocean) of around -6% (±4%) under SSP1-2.6 by 2080-99, relative to 1995-2014. Under SSP5-8.5, this rises to a -16% (±9%) decline. In both cases, there is “significant regional variation” in both the magnitude of the change and the associated uncertainties, the report says." phytoplankton in particular is projected to decline by ~10% in worst-case emissions scenario.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01173-9/figures/3
[deleted] t1_j13wmps wrote
[removed]
rixtil41 t1_j15cmkp wrote
There is enough air to last us a few hundred years so not that big of a deal if the air we breathe stoped being naturally recycled right now.
Financial_Exercise88 t1_j1d56fh wrote
Are you sure? Do you know what hemoglobin is and how it works?
rixtil41 t1_j1egecv wrote
So although I don't know the exact ways to on how this would work in every detail my point is that it's not impossible to survive and that any attempt at survival is doomed to fail even if only a small percentage of humanity was left.
Financial_Exercise88 t1_j1fmyjj wrote
All humanity relies on a precise balance between O2 and CO2 in ambient air. Hemoglobin binds CO2 100x more than O2; it only works as an O2 delivery system because there's a hyper-abundance of O2 (declining currently, FYI). Genetic engineering or O2 supplementation mechanisms require extensive supply chains that won't exist if only a few survive.
And if we (humanity) survive but we (you & I) don't then the former matters little.
rixtil41 t1_j1g8wnr wrote
But what about the future where genetic engineering requires less and does not rely on a large number of people? Unless you think humanity will die off before that becomes a reality.
Financial_Exercise88 t1_j1hd2ce wrote
Can AI come up with an alternative to Hb that we can genetically engineer babies to have before the imbalance ambient air is lethal? Probably. But no one is working on it. It will probably affect behavior & intelligence in imperceptible ways long before humans see it as an issue worth pursuing. And then we depend on animals... we're going to replace the whole ecosystem with genetically engineered variants that can thrive in higher CO2/lower O2 environment (are we going to also change our dependence on the Krebs cycle which needs O2) ? No, I don't believe that is realistic. Supply chains will be long gone, humanity too, before then. Or, we could just tax the f out of fossil fuels. No. Brainer.
xXSpaceturdXx t1_j12x9l1 wrote
It’s the domino effect that is the problem. With the melting ice caps, poison rainwater, Global warming, waters going barren of life. it’s all downhill from here. they’re starting to backtrack but not fast enough. We can’t turn the clocks back on the damage that’s been done.
Friday_Night_Pizza t1_j13tm8z wrote
Don't forget mass migrations due to flooding and unlivable conditions, massive blows to food & water security/stability. Oh boi!
Gemini884 t1_j14i1mv wrote
>waters going barren of life
Information on marine biomass decline from recent ipcc report: "Global models also project a loss in marine biomass (the total weight of all animal and plant life in the ocean) of around -6% (±4%) under SSP1-2.6 by 2080-99, relative to 1995-2014. Under SSP5-8.5, this rises to a -16% (±9%) decline. In both cases, there is “significant regional variation” in both the magnitude of the change and the associated uncertainties, the report says." phytoplankton in particular is projected to decline by ~10% in worst-case emissions scenario.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01173-9/figures/3
Huntred t1_j12f0ck wrote
Yes, people in developing counties will have a hard time preparing, but it’s not like Florida is going to be able to build a wall around itself. Some places where the dollar-per-unit of costal protection might be able to afford it (thinking NYC), but other places even in the US will have a harder time practically in the day to day (hard to move ports and what are we going to do about New Orleans?) and looking to the future (mortgage/insurance nightmares.)
COVID showed that the supply chain isn’t very anti-fragile and the climate catastrophe is much more impactful.
Exciting-Pangolin665 t1_j12go5w wrote
Limestone baby we will rise again (florida)
Huntred t1_j12gw1x wrote
Limestone is highly porous and sea-water soluble, so…
EdgarAllanPuss t1_j12j28d wrote
Back to the drawing board
bathroomheater t1_j12te1c wrote
Back to the drowning board*
Sprinkle_Puff t1_j132w0o wrote
If you draw with a sharpie around the limestone it should protect it
spudzilla t1_j14nz7i wrote
Mar A Lardo underwater? A win for society and our nation's secret papers.
chill633 t1_j15lslp wrote
>"...but it’s not like Florida is going to be able to build a wall around itself."
I now have a new fear -- that Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida reads Reddit. PLEASE don't give him ideas!
johannthegoatman t1_j12t6iy wrote
Seems like developing countries also don't have a ton of expensive infrastructure though, so rebuilding further in is not nearly as difficult
Friday_Night_Pizza t1_j13tidd wrote
At current rates, it's estimated that all the ice melting on earth would take about 4000-5000 years. if that were to ever happen, it represents at 225-250ish foot rise in the sea level. It would change the whole globe dramatically
AG2dayAG t1_j12eueb wrote
I saw another study that says some glaciers are melting others are getting bigger
FogletGilet t1_j12fpvm wrote
Yes that's normal because glaciers always tend yo oscillate. The problem is that the absolute amount of ice on glaciers is going down, even if some individual glaciers go up it doesn't make it for the loss.
AG2dayAG t1_j12gcrw wrote
The studies are all over the palace its hard to tell. The eu plan Is to charge a carbon tax thus seems like they're taking advantage of the situation to tax people rather than tackle the problem. Why not flat out ban 100+ for yachts and private jets as a start
ChalupaCabre t1_j12ntmg wrote
Why not charge a carbon tax so you can collect sales and luxury taxes on the item and then charge out the wazoo to fill the tank?
Or ban, and collect $0 in taxation. Seems like an easy choice!
AG2dayAG t1_j12o4nt wrote
Numbers are being inflated to give politicians a bigger budget to fleece
Containedmultitudes t1_j146teb wrote
11 day old account spewing obscurantism and denial, wonder what you’re doing here.
AG2dayAG t1_j14863h wrote
Whatever you say
strangeattractors OP t1_j12f4io wrote
Interesting. Have a link?
AG2dayAG t1_j12h2pk wrote
What's also weird is in the 70s the climate change situation was global cooling not warming thwn in the 80s they started with warming seems like they find excuses to scare people. Also if the seas will rise by so much why are politicians and rich elites buying ocean front homes seems odd to me
BlueSwordM t1_j12m0v8 wrote
Not true. The scientific consensus and data at the time overwhelmingly showed that global cooling was never a thing, really only global warning.
Koshunae t1_j12rzw4 wrote
Wasnt there essentially a smear campaign at the time by the oil companies, just throwing out opposing and misleading information?
There are places that have kept detailed and fairly accurate meteorological data since 1880, and localized spots as early as the mid 1600s.
The warming trend has been known for a long time, but its been greatly accelerated.
Containedmultitudes t1_j1470fn wrote
Here being spewed by an 11 day old account engaging in climate denialism. I have a feeling the smear campaign wasn’t limited to the past.
AG2dayAG t1_j12mjdw wrote
The day the rich start selling their beach front homes then I'll start worrying
Shot-Job-8841 t1_j12ppi9 wrote
The very rich don’t care if their $5,000,000 home is underwater in 20 years.
AG2dayAG t1_j12q90w wrote
You sound dumb right now. The rich know where every penny goes. Why do you think they hire lawyers to pay as little to no taxes as possible
Shot-Job-8841 t1_j12rfnc wrote
I never said they didn’t know, I said the they were rich enough not to care. If you buy a super yacht it can cost millions a year to maintain and crew: but you can easily recoup that by using it to butter VIPs. A billionaire can use a house to help with business deals whereas a mere millionaire buys it to flip.
AG2dayAG t1_j12t6qp wrote
So a millionaire can't use it for business deals? And billionaires don't flip homes?
LordBoxington t1_j12s9df wrote
Dude, Trump himself, the guy who said it's a Chinese hoax, has literally been spending millions on seawalls to protect property and golf courses he owns that are next to the ocean because even he knows it's coming. Also many of these people have yachts that can sustain them for long periods of time just fine, as well a multitude of properties that will allow them to leave at any time to somewhere safer/better/less affected.
AG2dayAG t1_j12t1ps wrote
Dude!!. The property he has is in the hurricane belt it literally gets pummeled by hurricanes almost every year. That's not because of climate change
LordBoxington t1_j12tn0s wrote
Yea, his Scottish properties with the new seawall constructions are really getting walloped by those hurricanes!
AG2dayAG t1_j12tqoc wrote
Link? I'm talking about Mar a lago
LordBoxington t1_j12u9js wrote
Sorry, Ireland, not Scotland - https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-doonbeg-ireland-permission-to-build-wall-for-golf-course-2017-12?op=1
whatisthishappiness t1_j130tr9 wrote
Bro everyone knows Trump just loves walls
LordBoxington t1_j130wwg wrote
Fuck, I didn't even think about it that way, it makes so much sense now
AG2dayAG t1_j12u8a5 wrote
Ok found it has nothing to do with climate change and everything to do with the fact that it gets ht with 30 meter waves which isn't good for a golf resort
LordBoxington t1_j12ue35 wrote
He literally cites climate change and rising sea levels in the permit application, how much more proof do you need?
AG2dayAG t1_j12uj3e wrote
You worry about climate change I'll live my life.
LordBoxington t1_j12uzrx wrote
I mean look I'm not super worried about it because I literally have no control over it, so I'm living my life too, I'm not sure what you're trying to prove here? Whether or not you believe it's real, it is, and if you're in an area anywhere near sea level have fun figuring out how to deal with it while pretending you aren't! Rooting for you!
AG2dayAG t1_j12v9z9 wrote
Not concerned with it at all. You saying it is doesn't make it so. More government bs to tax its citizens even more.
LordBoxington t1_j12we3q wrote
It's not me you should be paying attention to, it's the literal tens of thousands of scientists who have been screaming about it for decades you should listen to.
This is like getting a warning from the entire military that a missile strike is imminent and being like 'they just MAKING SHIT UP AGAIN!'
(Also if you think taxes are high now, wait until we're paying out a trillion a year just to repair fucking storm damage as they get more severe)
AG2dayAG t1_j12ws2f wrote
If it's inevitable it's inevitable predictions with no way of solving the problem is pointless.
AG2dayAG t1_j12vcrl wrote
I actually hope the sea does rise 50 feet I have a few properties that would become ocean front
LordBoxington t1_j12w4oq wrote
Hell yea brother! Beach front property complete with flooded infrastructure leeching into the water and refugees who are now homeless, big W for you
chill633 t1_j15m8o4 wrote
You say "some" the article you link below says "a few". That article is very clear they're talking about a small minority of glaciers.
AG2dayAG t1_j15p3va wrote
Some can mean a few I didn't say all or alot or a bunch I said some
redrix12 t1_j13mrv3 wrote
100x means 10,000% means 100 times
Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments