Sure, but as a general view, it seems clean energy is getting support overall. It was only a few decades that some nations wouldn't even have any plans for clean energy at all. There will always be some groups with business incentive to go another direction, but it wouldn't, for example, be the stance o f the US government to say 'the heck with clear energy!' over the span of a decade.

It is my ignorance talking, but I was very pleasantly surprised that even China, India, and African countries are onboard. Maybe I shouldn't have been surprised. Maybe articles from decades ago made me doubt 'emerging global economies' would be in on this 'new green pipe dream'.

Exciting times we live in. Heck, I personally know an older neighbor that finally bought a sun-powered light for the front of their house and he can't stop being gobsmacked at the whole thing. "Free light?! No wires?!".

It hits differently just reading about something as opposed of trying it and seeing it for yourself.

Another guy said their next car they'll buy (in half a decade or so) will be electric. That was never thought of to some people just a few short years ago.

Things are happening and happening quickly. I am glad this is a global phenomena as well. Tech progress is becoming more and more ubiquitous. There was a time where the difference in tech between nations was generational. Now the majority of the planet has electricity and half have access to the internet. That is absolutely insane to me.

I talked to people that are now grandparents and some even still middle-aged that told me they remember growing up without electricity at all. Now they all have social media accounts and streaming Netflix shows. One lady showed me how her dishwasher 'talks' to her through her phone telling her it is time to empty the dishes.

That's wild. And all that is within one lifetime or less.

>You are aware that Donald Trump was President of the US only 2 1/2 years ago right?

I put panels on my house in 2017 so what does who POTUS was at the time change about that. Not like it was criminalized.

Stop, no one is opposed to solar and wind just the lies told on how it will replace oil and gas all by itself anytime soon. Nuclear solar wind and hydro is the future in every state,

The IEA has long history of greatly underestimating the adoption of renewables. To the point where I question if the Oil lobby influences their reports. Every single year they revise their estimates and they're always an underestimate. We are currently way above their best case predictions from 5 or 10 years ago. For some reason they always try to model the growth as a linear graph when it has clearly been following an S curve for quite some time now.

That's just 3 years. I'm wondering about what will happen in 30 years. And even 30 years is not really that long.

The speed of progress is astonishing. So much will change and happen in 2050 it is ridiculous...ridiculously awesome, that is!

the IEA and any other energy outlook has historically always underestimated renewables, I would confidently bet you that by 2025 we'd be in a much better state than that

I mean growth stopped, renewables are cheaper than starting new plants.

Then renewables replace retiring Fossil fuel plants.

Then renewables accelerate retirement plans for fossil fuels.

Also natural gas and renewables work well together in a brief period because if the sun and wind stop you can add natural gas easily.

The problem is that total use is increasing. So flat gas and coal absolute use is a reduction in the percent of the electric generation mix. But it means the C emissions haven't changed, they just aren't getting worse.

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Three years is pretty short though. For Germany, I expect the energy consumption to rise due to heat pumps replacing gas /oil heating and electric cars replacing ice engines.

I don't think we can increase renewable energy generation fast enough to cover those as well as the existing generation in the next few years, but it's still a overall emissions reduction.

Personally I don't think any level of just emissions reduction will dodge catostrophic climate change at this point. It's just not plausible that at this level of rapid change, warming and ice melt that reducing emissions by 2050 or such would be really anywhere near enough.

At best you have to pull CO2 out of the atmosphere and at worst you will have to employ some level of solar blocking to reduce heat build-up. It's a long term Co2 build-up and the CO2 doesn't go away quickly, so emissions reductions are just bets that we can limit warming. They aren't guarantees of anything and that's kind of the problem. The upside is solar blocking would lower heat immediately so it would be a good way to combat the core problem, which is heat, vs trying to only attack it from the insulating gas angle.

To me ice melt and changing climate happening well before models predicted means it's already too late for just emissions reduction. You certain still need emissions reduction, but betting the planets future on such a passive plan with no proof our modeling is accurate enough to make such a bet AND when we have other options to limit warming just seems dumb.