Submitted by Pro_RazE t3_zzzust in singularity
Comments
Primo2000 t1_j2elc7d wrote
chatgpt2 running on gpt-4;)))
HeinrichTheWolf_17 t1_j2en3ha wrote
AGI this decade.
RoninNionr t1_j2eot76 wrote
Knowing that a guy from OpenAI says it makes me excited and scared at the same time, because it doesn't look like a prediction but an announcement :)
Sashinii t1_j2ep0ix wrote
I doubt it'll happen this fast, but I hope computer simulations accelerate the drug discovery process so dramatically that regenerative medicine is finally widespread in hospitals next year.
gantork t1_j2es0ks wrote
Integrated into bing and windows
[deleted] t1_j2esvwc wrote
[removed]
GlitteringBroccoli12 t1_j2et6rr wrote
Neurolink agrees
grossexistence t1_j2et91h wrote
Heizard t1_j2etot7 wrote
COWABAGA IT IS! Time to experience what exponential progress means all around us!
Terraplex t1_j2etv8n wrote
Well, "sleepy" time is when the dreams happen, and this was the year when AI dreams got vivid and stylized.
The real question is not just when AI's will finally wake up, but what will happen when they do.
ReadSeparate t1_j2euf62 wrote
And there’s no doubt that he is aware of that look and of his platform, which means it IS an announcement
Practical-Mix-4332 t1_j2eufz2 wrote
What does he know???
BluRazz494 t1_j2eunii wrote
Kony 2012.
pre-DrChad t1_j2eup26 wrote
It won’t because it has to make it through clinical trials. It might bring a lot more drugs/therapies into the pipeline though
SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j2euux2 wrote
>it doesn't look like a prediction but an announcement
I think it is a prediction. I mean, he literally says prediction in his tweet.
Think_Olive_1000 t1_j2exh5p wrote
BCIs are cool but not gonna cut my skull up for it, no thanks
420BigDawg_ t1_j2exvow wrote
I want medicine to solve balding, quickly now hurry up
maskedpaki t1_j2eyabs wrote
lets goooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
JVM_ t1_j2f3i99 wrote
All our systems that a slow human in the process are ripe for AI. AI probably won't take over completely but if AI can do the job 10 to 100x faster, the number of people you need to do a job shrinks dramatically.
Effective-Dig8734 t1_j2f4opt wrote
420BigDawg_ t1_j2f6hue wrote
I’m not even balding yet but the signs are there lmfao
iskser743 t1_j2f79wl wrote
What do you think will happen after it’s created?
bachuna t1_j2f7jw5 wrote
"Accelerate, accelerate, we are going to get there anyway!"
borntobemild- t1_j2f8d9h wrote
THERE IS AS YET INSUFFICIENT DATA FOR A MEANINGFUL ANSWER
SoylentRox t1_j2f8uuo wrote
I mean I'm just saying, I'd rather the drugs to slow aging down first. I wouldn't care if they made me totally hairless as a side effect.
GlitteringBroccoli12 t1_j2far2j wrote
Me neither. But it only takes one to create a superhuman cyborg
Shelfrock77 t1_j2fazh9 wrote
FDVR by 2030 ! 😈
NarrowTea t1_j2fbow5 wrote
AGI before driverless cars.
Sandbar101 t1_j2fcg7x wrote
“We will see technology in 2023 that you would expect to see in 2033.”
Sashinii t1_j2fck9f wrote
Computer simulations will accelerate clinical trials, but probably not fast enough for 2023.
PhilosophusFuturum t1_j2fd0k8 wrote
That’s why reforming the FDA needs to be priority #1. The good news is that we just made huge progress regarding the FDA process. It is now a lot easier to skip animal trials and do human trials.
leroy_hoffenfeffer t1_j2fd5a7 wrote
Full steam ahead, I guess.
It seems that the human race is going to quickly end up in a Cyberpunk or Bladerunner future.
If we don't consider ethical adoption of technology, the elite will control everything, and everyone else will just have to suck it.
PhilosophusFuturum t1_j2fd8sy wrote
In a sense; medicine can already do a ton to prevent and even reverse balding to an extent. r/tressless has good advice regarding this
[deleted] t1_j2fd9wb wrote
PhilosophusFuturum t1_j2fdc06 wrote
Neuralink is actually pretty inferior to other BCIs already on the market
the-powl t1_j2fdgxy wrote
I think the progress was already pretty fast this year. The imagination that it'll go even faster in the future is pretty uncomfortable to me. I already have the feeling that I can't keep up with technical innovation. I don't want to get left behind but also don't want to spend most of my free time in learning new things.
winkerback t1_j2fdllm wrote
RemindMe! 1 year
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GlitteringBroccoli12 t1_j2feog8 wrote
PhilosophusFuturum t1_j2fex2s wrote
Well most of them. Utah Arrays for example are more capable of neuron-level micro imaging and deeper brain monitoring. You also have implants for Parkinson’s that are more capable of DBS. Neuralink is a model that uses less energy, which is cool but it isn’t as effective.
Altruistic_Rate6053 t1_j2ff13q wrote
it already exists, it’s called estrogen
pre-DrChad t1_j2ff3vr wrote
Yes in silico models will help greatly with this. With AGI we could develop in silico models pretty fast
pre-DrChad t1_j2ffcut wrote
Yeah but to make it to hospitals they need to go through 3 phases of human clinical trials by current standards, which can take up to a decade.
In the future we may be able to simulate human trials but that technology is not present currently
Milkstrietmen t1_j2fgfug wrote
AGI before solving baldness. There is no other way.
lil_intern t1_j2fimae wrote
Why would you doubt it happening fast AI doesn’t seem to be progressing slowly at the moment
lil_intern t1_j2fiqr3 wrote
Isn’t robotics pretty far behind for there to be an AGI? Like wouldn’t an AGI need to be capable of completing any task asked of it
AF881R t1_j2fj3wy wrote
Jeez I hope so. I hope for the same with all the elements of STEM.
RamanaSadhana t1_j2fj6vp wrote
What do you all think will happen in 23?
RocksHardWaterWet t1_j2fk3j3 wrote
I live in LA. We have driverless cars NOW and they are no longer operating on a provisional license. Waymo and others are fully licensed to operate and without a safety/backup driver.
makepossible t1_j2fk4vi wrote
Who is this quote from??
[deleted] t1_j2fk96t wrote
[deleted]
SufficientPie t1_j2fkx46 wrote
Are you … not familiar with the reasons why we do animal trials? o_O
PhilosophusFuturum t1_j2fll8l wrote
I am; but having safe medicines be able to go straight to human trials is still huge
Felix_Dzerjinsky t1_j2fls54 wrote
Also, beyond technology there's legality. And those things move much slower.
Denpol88 t1_j2fn3uc wrote
What is Kony?
Denpol88 t1_j2fn7ai wrote
Denpol88 t1_j2fnc57 wrote
RemindMe! 1 year
Apollo24_ t1_j2fo6is wrote
Apollo24_ t1_j2for9h wrote
Brad Smith, Microsoft Executive (from 2 weeks ago or so)
Fortkes t1_j2fpqsz wrote
It's a threat :)
frogsntoads00 t1_j2fpv2x wrote
So why the fuck can’t Tesla seem to figure it out with the budget they surely put towards full self driving?
420BigDawg_ t1_j2fqa7r wrote
Fortkes t1_j2fqam1 wrote
Driverless cars working in all conditions and all locations. Basically can it navigate a WRC rally course as good as an average Finn, at night while it's snowing.
RocksHardWaterWet t1_j2fqgc9 wrote
Because they are trying to use LiDAR. Elon says this is more difficult in the short term, but will be the right choice in the long term..
civilrunner t1_j2fqh06 wrote
I suspect every year for a technology like AI will make the previous year seem boring by comparison.
This can be said for Fusion, autonomous vehicles, robotics, biotechnologies, quantum computing, EVs, and more as well.
Besides that we are nowhere close to the limit of current 13.5 NM wavelength lithography fabrication for semiconductors, until we get down to the angstrom scale chips will continue on their current acceleration in power especially for things like AI.
RocksHardWaterWet t1_j2fqmov wrote
Well, yeah… that would require AGI.
Miss_pechorat t1_j2frvrb wrote
Maybe he's just conservative with his prediction ;-))
Talkat t1_j2ftxnr wrote
I agree.. but I think id rather have AI reviewing scans and results first
Talkat t1_j2fuj31 wrote
Tesla is trying to solve FSD everywhere not on small isolated areas. Their progress is ramping exponentially. I think it will be solved on 18 months-ish. They are already focused on building the robo taxi
Pro_RazE OP t1_j2ekpzl wrote
Just mentioning here in case anyone doesn't knows. He is the cofounder of OpenAI.