crumbaker t1_j300khj wrote on January 5, 2023 at 2:54 AM

Reply to comment by ChronoPsyche in 2022 was the year AGI arrived (Just don't call it that) by sideways

Really? How many characters can you remember?

ChronoPsyche t1_j3135qr wrote on January 5, 2023 at 9:15 AM

Let me rephrase. It only has working memory but no intermediate or long term memory. Such a human would be considered brain damaged.

DungeonsAndDradis t1_j31loh3 wrote on January 5, 2023 at 12:55 PM

Just like the WaitButWhy picture, right now we're on the left side of the exponential curve, where the AI is "brain damaged" and with a tiny shift in the timeframe, we're on the right side of the exponential curve where the AI "makes Einstein look brain damaged."

ChronoPsyche t1_j31pnq4 wrote on January 5, 2023 at 1:30 PM

The curve reaches back to the agricultural revolution, so a little shift can be anywhere from years to decades. I personally think we'll get AGI by 2030. We definitely don't have it yet though. It's also not clear if LLMs are sufficient for AGI.

Az0r_ t1_j30hq5k wrote on January 5, 2023 at 5:11 AM

It is difficult to give a precise answer to this question because the number of characters that an individual can remember can vary greatly depending on a number of factors, such as their age, education, language background, and memory skills.

However, research has shown that the average person can remember between 5 and 9 items (such as words, numbers, or characters) in their short-term memory, with some studies suggesting a number as low as 4 and others as high as 15.