SkiingAway

SkiingAway t1_ixggat5 wrote

No? It appears that neither you or the Twitter poster understand what you're reading.

The "increased vehicle storage space" is in the sense that there will no longer be traffic waiting to head to 11th sitting in the queue at the Jersey Ave light.

If 25% of cars were going to 11th before, building a new exit taking them off the road before there means there's now 25% more queue space leading to the the Jersey Ave light.

The net result of this is that traffic into Newport/that region of JC would be far less impeded by the Holland Tunnel backups. As you are presumably aware, 11th St is intentionally configured to make it impractical to use to try to cheat the Holland Tunnel queues and that wouldn't be changing.


The purpose of the Turnpike's Extension's expansion is for increasing traffic demands on the NJ side from both the port/industry and general population growth on the east side of the bay, not for somehow increasing Holland Tunnel throughput.

I'm not endorsing the plan, to be clear. But your criticism isn't at all about the problem they're claiming to be doing this for or fixing.

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SkiingAway t1_ixgbcgi wrote

> For context, Maine requires coverage of $50,000 for one victim or $100,000 for multiple victims. It looks like the average driver in Maine pays less than $3,000 per year for auto insurance.

And there's New Hampshire, which doesn't require insurance at all. So think about that the next time you see NH plates....

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SkiingAway t1_iwq9tdu wrote

The issue is that refineries are expensive and take a long time to build/reopen/expand. This means that any big investment you make is going to take a while to earn back it's costs.

Energy companies see the writing on the wall for the oil market, and that even if right now we've got a little rise in demand (vs the pandemic) we're likely looking at demand being in a long-term death spiral.

Many parts of the world and many US states are looking to outright ban new sales of fossil fuel vehicles within 10-15 years, and even in places that don't it's likely there will be an ever-increasing share of the market eaten up by electric vehicles. Elsewhere, there's a concerted push to switch away from oil/gas for household use and electric generation.


Even if you've got expensive gas right now, when they believe in 5 years they're going to be needing to close refineries/cut capacity, and will be in that downward spiral for decades, there's no reason to want to expand now.

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SkiingAway t1_iwq8gdc wrote

Power in New England is a regional market.

Regardless of where the endpoint of the line is or where the power plant is, that doesn't mean that the power just stays in that state.


Beyond that, one of our biggest issues as a region is inadequate pipeline capacity from NY to feed our natural gas demands.

More power coming into the New England grid that isn't requiring us to burn NG to get, means it's displacing some amount of natural gas usage and reducing how bad our mismatch of demand/capacity is on the pipelines feeding the region - there's more left in the pipeline for places further into the region....like NH.

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SkiingAway t1_iwmg942 wrote

> One day, one vote, show id - it’s so simple

That's pretty much the only way to vote in NH, yes.

Absentee/mail ballots in the state require an actual cause for why you need one, they're not just available because you don't feel like voting in person.

So regardless of your feelings about radical, difficult to comprehend concepts (/s) like "voting by mail" or "voting early"....they're not really a thing here anyway.


I'd think a person like you would approve of a hand count of the actual paper ballots under the supervision of both parties and election officials. Which is what happens in a recount.

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SkiingAway t1_ivrjugd wrote

NH House is set to be a near dead heat - initial official call is 203R-197D with multiple races reportedly going to recounts. We could see control of the chamber flipping back and forth as vacancies/resignations happen over the term.


State Senate + Exec Council are just gerrymandering for why they're not close, it has nothing to do with the actual vote totals.

As example, the Executive Council looks like it'll be 4R-1D....but that's just because they packed the Dems into District 2. The cumulative vote totals for all the races combined (WMUR #'s) are currently sitting at...284,613R-283,074D. Barely a 1,500 vote difference statewide.

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SkiingAway t1_ivp5iqt wrote

> The narratives around migration are so braindead, too. A majority of NH residents were not born in NH. People move for a lot of reasons. It's a free country. Unless you're severely mentally ill, politics is probably not the primary reason you move to a new state.

I'll also note the % not born in NH was basically steady for 1990-2012 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/08/13/upshot/where-people-in-each-state-were-born.html#New_Hampshire.

I don't think it's changed much since.

So I don't think it really explains political trends in the past few decades very well.

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SkiingAway t1_ivmwcto wrote

It's not 15% of the ballots randomly distributed across the state.

It's typically that some places have reported all or nearly all of their votes, some haven't reported anything yet. We know how those places have voted in past elections and how their demographics are (or aren't) similar to other places in the state.

Have enough of those, and you have a pretty good picture of how the state is voting. And if they're running ahead of the numbers they were expected to need to win in those various places....odds are that's going to happen in the unknowns as well.


Example:

Imagine Portsmouth has voted D+20 as an average of the past couple elections, and Dover has voted D+15.

If you have 100% of the vote in for Portsmouth, and it's only D+10, Dover is probably D+5, and it more generally suggests Dems are doing far worse than usual. If the overall race was supposed to be D+2, statewide you might be looking at R+3.

(in reality, you would want a bunch of different kinds of places to make these sorts of inferences for the state overall).

This is also how you can get calls while the actual counted votes are the still opposite of who they're calling it for. - because they're way underperforming where they need to rack up votes, even if they're ahead in the total count at that time.


It's pretty rare for major media outlets to miscall races. Not non-existent, but uncommon.

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SkiingAway t1_ivfnkhy wrote

The wording is complicated because they need to amend it in multiple spots to accomplish the goal.

/u/Selfless- 's link is also a good one.

But for a simple explanation:

The Register of Probate for your county no longer has any responsibilities or functions. This eliminates it as an elected position and gets rid of the multiple references to it in the state constitution.

It's getting rid of an archaic office that again, no longer does anything.

You currently get asked to elect someone to a completely pointless office. After this, you wouldn't.


There's basically no reason for anyone to vote against it unless you've got some strong opinions against the court/probate reforms from over a decade ago and want functions to go back to that office.....I don't know of anyone who actually holds an opinion about that.

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SkiingAway t1_iuj9k84 wrote

Uh, yes. You're trying to be sarcastic, but that's basically 100% accurate.

The US commercial shipbuilding industry is pretty much entirely dead outside of that. We build about zero ships of any substantial size other than the shipbuilding that's protected/subsidized by the military + the couple dozen Jones Act ships.

If it isn't built here for purposes of complying with either military or Jones Act rules....it isn't built here, ever.


World shipbuilding is ~49% China, ~39% South Korea, ~9% Japan, and the entire rest of the planet is basically a rounding error with 3-4% total market share.

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SkiingAway t1_iuix3ob wrote

It's not something the public can do a great deal to conserve, especially at this point where heating demand is currently low.

It's not a gasoline issue, it's a diesel/heating oil issue.

New England has little natural gas storage, so conserving natural gas/electricity right now will accomplish little, the resource can't be stockpiled here.

The complicated answer is that it would probably be helpful to:

  • Set your heat low if you use heating oil.

  • If you don't use heating oil, the only time you can do anything significantly useful is during the deepest cold snaps in the winter. That's when natural gas demand exceeds pipeline capacity and we start needing LNG imports or burning oil to meet electrical demand. Then it would be helpful to cut your electricity demand + set back your heat if you use natural gas or electric for it.


If you figure that requests to conserve are more impactful the first few times around rather than when you've been hearing it for months, it probably makes sense to wait to ask that of the public until we're closer to the moments where that could actually help.

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SkiingAway t1_iuiuuw1 wrote

It keeps the very small amount of non-military US shipbuilding/shipping left alive. Whether or not you feel that's worthwhile is up to you, but that's the function.

In the event of more serious world issues, being unable to supply our non-contiguous territories with our own fleet is potentially a pretty significant national security issue.

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SkiingAway t1_iuehb22 wrote

Reply to comment by TedToaster22 in The Harp right now by bm96

Eh, unlike NYC, the commuter rail doesn't run late enough to use for a night out.

At least for the major lines, LIRR's basically 24/7, and NJT/Metro North have the last train of the night after 1AM and resume by around 5AM.

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SkiingAway t1_iu4h30y wrote

I agree there's been a lack of polling of individual races in general - 538's quantified that a bit recently, too.

That said, in the absence of polling, I would typically put my money on the person who's won the last 5 times, especially since it's not like they've been close even in not great years for national Dems.

(And the Republicans haven't gone with a candidate that seems very likely to attract moderates).

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SkiingAway t1_iu4fs4b wrote

> I know Republicans have made big inroads in the north country and the Claremont area the last few years

Not sure I agree with that regarding Sullivan County, but as reminder: You're talking about the two least-populous counties in the state (and who continue to lose population), home to only ~74,000 people and around 11% of NH-2's population.

If every single voter in Sullivan + Coos Counties in 2020 voted Republican....Kuster would likely still have won.

Also, with Grafton both growing and seemingly shifting further away from Republicans, I'd imagine the ideological balance of the 3 counties is either a wash or slight shift towards the Dems.

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SkiingAway t1_iu48zzg wrote

If you're actually traveling with a fully loaded car of people your trip is vastly more efficient in both a congestion + environmental sense than a car with one person.

On the car trips side of things....your trip isn't really the one they're trying to push people to alter their behavior on.

They want to encourage people to stop coming to the airport in single-occupancy vehicles or making pick-ups/drop-offs of just one person.

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SkiingAway t1_iu482ss wrote

It's $18 for a round-trip ticket from the suburbs, and the daily parking rate is $7.

If you're parking for a week:

Logan Express will cost you $67.

Airport Terminal parking will cost you somewhere between $179 and $266.

The appeal should be fairly obvious.


Yes, Logan Express (from the suburbs) is a substantially less compelling choice if you're just going somewhere for a day or two.

Arguably it's also less intended for that, as while the claimed purpose is reducing car trips to the airport (and it does), it's obviously substantially about reducing the need for (expensive) warehousing of cars at a space-constrained airport - and long trips are the worst for that.

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SkiingAway t1_iu4760i wrote

Massport isn't funded by any taxpayer dollars.

Flying out of there regularly, I'd suggest you may be blind if you think the airport hasn't gotten significantly better in the past decade.

The roads are currently somewhat of a mess, yes. Considering that they're redoing the entire road layout in the terminal B/C area, I'm not sure how you'd expect them to do that without making a mess during construction.

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SkiingAway t1_iu2tcin wrote

> The Massachusetts Department of Health lists 15 acute care hospitals in Boston Metro area and the population of Boston is roughly 650,000 people. The San Francisco Bay Area has 16 hospitals and 7.5 Million people; I can attest I was never ONCE quoted 3 to 6 months for a nurse, doctor, specialist, or a surgery. It doesn't take PhD level math to see that things just don't add up here.

Correct. Specifically, the way it doesn't add up is that you've compared one municipality to an entire region. Your comparison makes about zero sense.

The Boston Metro area has 4.9 million people.

The SF metro area has 4.6 million people.

Additionally, Boston is where people get referred for the most advanced/specialty care and procedures in most of New England. It is not uncommon to see patients sent to Boston from as far away as the Canadian border, far outside the metro area.


The average wait time to see a neurologist in the US was well over a month a decade ago and the shortage of neurologists has become far worse by most reports. I can't find any recent data for neurology waits specifically but I wouldn't be surprised if the average was 2+ months now. (tl;dr - old people nee

The average wait time to get a new PCP is also quite lengthy.

Basically nowhere, including CA, is doing any better with this and I doubt you'd have a substantially different experience there. CA has one of the worst shortages in the country.


> I can attest I was never ONCE quoted 3 to 6 months for a nurse, doctor, specialist, or a surgery.

Have you tried getting a new PCP since 2020?

Have you ever needed an appointment for a medical specialty with one of the most notoriously long wait times in all of medicine? (and again - since 2020?).

> Beth Israel have every single day and time slot (90 days worth) booked for all their Neurologists until March? Yeah okay seems legitimate.

This is likely 100% the case.

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