>(now you don't need to wear glasses in VR anymore).

Aaahhww, good to know, thanks. This was the showstopper or delay for me.

The kill apps are games and porn, especially with AI companions and NPCs. Obviously. Meta: Let's make it into a place for corporate meetings, mobile games, and no porn allowed (same for everything else that might give us bad PR by mass media bullies).

VR was obviously here to stay, because of all the monitors we have. Mass output of cheap high resolution screens. Though, these screens aren't 8k or even more. Much less of a mass market, much less demand outside of VR.

Maybe ask yourself if you have a tendency towards being unreasonably optimistic and easy to fall for hypes. Also, Meta hired many VR gaming devs, giving them money for doing nothing or building their garbage dystopian monopoly platform.

I think it will only cut of the middle part. The best ones will still be needed and the occasional coder and generalist will use the new opportunities to be creative with it. Some people might also get protection through some human based certification requirements.

Yeah, funny. Good for learning but not for use would be something like Scratch, I guess.

Idk, Python brought us where we are. It just works well for people who want to write rather small programs in a high level language. If they had done all of that with some form of Lisp I wouldn't complain, though.

It's useful as a tool, it's useful for decentralization away from big corporations, and also AI needs to be imaginative.

It's good for the opposition and free thinkers (heretics) in "liberal" authoritarian countries as well. Less importance to virtue signaling stars, less gatekeeping in content creation.

>at AIs that can monopolize creative fields!

It won't, it's the opposite.

It's just an term, which everyone can fill with their own meaning. It's not useful, and I don't need it.

No, I'm sure there's a difference, but not sure if there's value in discussing that here at this point.

I like it, but I also read doomerist subs. It's necessary to learn finding the BS, delusions and honest errors in both.

Funny how "Faster than expected!" is almost a meme, here and in r/collapse at the same time.

Sentience is a term used in almost esoteric ways. I don't know what you mean. If she senses the world and reacts to it, then she's sentient.

Waifus don't need to be intellectually equal or superior in every field, so a real AGI isn't required. However, it will most likely require actual work by enthusiasts to assemble a human-like AI running at home and being open source. I'll probably get started with that beginning of next year.

The AGI or proto-AGI we'll see in some time, will on the other hand most likely not think in very human-like ways, or at least not like a individual human, just being good at solving tasks. What I mean by that, for example, is long term memory about itself and an identity relating to that.

Human-likeness would also include thinking similar to a human and understanding things, but also being able to act like a human within certain boundaries. Companion AIs will be like that, while not having some superior skill in every field and certainly not using a huge server cluster at home.

Write some story about it, I'm sure someone will buy it. Just hasn't much to do with reality.

Yeah, well, I'd say it understands how the words in the prompt relate to certain image elements and how those relate to each other. Nothing outside, to physics, human meaning of such pictures, ...

r/collapse entered the chat

• There will simply be many new models and systems to do useful things in many areas.
• Some of them will also be useful to build virtual and physical companions with a somewhat human-like understanding and behavior at some point. The impact of the development will not be relevant in 2023, but the progress every year will matter later.
• Generally, the real important developments towards actual artificial intelligence will not create the biggest media hype.
• Content creation tools with some AI support will get so much better and more relevant, that there will be more and more content creators competing with big corporations, at least in comics and maybe short animations. It will also be more relevant for influencing society, including politics, competing about attention, hearts and minds. For those reasons it will create a backlash from the establishment.
• The 3090 as the cheapest 24GB (NVIDIA) GPU will go clearly below 1k in $/€, 12GB cards will be very cheap, and so become more affordable to researchers, students, hobbyists, and enthusiasts. Those GPUs and many used ones will spark more and more people at least playing around with some AI tools and models at home.
• Hopefully the chip and supply chain crisis will finally be less severe and we'll get more single board computers (SBCs) and TPUs on the market. Same for cheap BLDCs and servos in general. Good for people building robots and other things at home.
• Meta might loose it's funding for buying all VR game companies off the market, just to waste their time and skills. So there will be more actual VR games, or at least the development will get started, and also not only limited to standalone VR headsets.

Edit: Minor corrections for clarity

I think what you mean by machine learning in your second sentence is often called narrow AI these days. I agree with you partially, at least when it comes to that utter stupid idea of building some kind of AI God. It's not only stupid if it would turn out to be dangerous and would go wrong, the focus and obsession with it is already weird. We can have many tools in form of narrow AI systes used by humans.

Anyways, I want a somewhat human-like AI in robots, to have robot companions (synthetic girlfriends). This is going to be great for quality of life, solving the low birth rates in developed countries and simply one of the most fascinating things.

Image generators aren't that much more human-like than some protein folding simulation AI. They still don't know what any of this in the picture means. Both is important, though. Imagine crushing big corporations oligopoly on content creation. Someone who could make a comic on his own, could make five with his characters, much faster. Or he could at some point make an anime based on his characters.

I know about bullshit jobs. The don't exist in any state controlled economy. /s

You can use such an AI for making your own game or show?

Idk. Maybe only if immigration is regulated strictly. It might already be too late for more than just an extremely low UBI. Why would the people with still some jobs, capital gains or retirement funds support it? Especially if it's just for random people living in the same country? Also, if a big energy and fossil fuel crunch happens around the same time, a lot of very cheap farmworkers will be needed.