All the stuff you've read about in sci-fi novels will come true. Fusion, life-extension, AGI, gene-editing, humanoid robots, VR/AR, BCIs, a space economy, and colonies on other moons/planets.

Also this is very early days still. Computers also started off expensive, so did phones, gaming consoles, and TVs. But now we have a huge market with many affordable options.

'search' is a consequence of not having a good enough algorithm to give you exactly what you want. With AI, we now have an oracle that can give you exact answers. Google needs to adapt or die.

I remember watching this interview and he wasn't specifically talking about GPT4, but just AI progress in general. But I think without a doubt we will see proto-AGI in 2023, or at least an AI model that is so freakishly capable it will be obvious to everyone that AI will change everything. I agree with you that this is an important decade for humanity, and I personally think we will enter a new era of Hope. The hope that everything can be solved with the help of AI. Maybe it's over-optimistic, but I genuinely think this is THE turning point for our species.

The fact that the rate of progress in AI has been surprising even to people in the ML community, lends credence to the views shared in this Reddit sub. The people here are closer to reality than most. Future progress in AI will be astounding and catch everyone off guard.

Aubrey De Grey thinks there is a 50% probability that we can control aging in 15 years

when unemployment hits 25% they'll have no choice but to mandate UBI

nothing about this statement is indicative of a cult, it's just hyper-optimism

Software problem. We still don't have all the algorithms needed for AGI.

ohh i saw your edit, it's all fine now!

oh ok, but from your wording you actually say that you don't want to merge

you're saying if we merge then we are headed for dystopia?

already solved lol, there are examples on twitter

I hadn't considered that even the ASI would self-improve and evolve. So there is something that comes after ASI, something far far greater.

But in terms of what will humans strive for? Total augmentation of the brain and body. Total freedom. No work. No death. No deadlines. We'll turn our attention to the stars. We'll colonize Mars. We'll form new countries on new planets. We'll explore the galaxy and make contact with other lifeforms.

never gonna come back here again. Not because I hate you guys, but because I'll be so busy doing everything I could ever want.

Meta created and uses PyTorch

the best way to benefit would be to get a job in the industry as an engineer

I expect AGI will solve aging. It won't involve nano bots.

2017 --> 2083 (66 years) is going to blow the Moon mission out of the water. If you could only get a glimpse of the future, you'd realize the incredible trajectory we're on.

No, we are in a strange moment in history where all the breakthroughs are happening in private sector. All the best AI researchers work for large tech companies or Universities.

By 2023 I think it will become obvious to anyone paying attention that AGI WILL happen and that every job will get replaced in our lifetime.

I agree with you that AGI will be a black swan event. Everyone in the tech world (people who understand the implications) are going to light up with excitement, because know they'll have a tool that solves basically any theoretical problem. Academia and research will boom. MIT/Stanford will be making breakthroughs every day in every academic discipline. Google will solve all of biology in like a few months. Wouldn't be surprised if like 80% of current businesses get disrupted by an AGI version.

I'm still expecting LEV somewhere in the 2030s.

what is the motive behind manipulating stock/energy markets?

They will use it to do everything. Science research and ad optimization. Amazon, Google and Meta are already applying AI techniques to life sciences. I think we'll see much more of that when we get AGI/ASI. The FAANG companies could likely become the largest health and research companies in the world. The next Pfizer or Moderna might actually be Google or Meta.