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edogg01 t1_iu1ww0u wrote

Dear God please let him win

152

white111 t1_iu1zpv4 wrote

I hope they don't get any of that 'operation condor' type freedom that certain groups like to help with.

−1

autotldr t1_iu202xt wrote

This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 57%. (I'm a bot)


> Brasília - Leftist challenger Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's lead over far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro has widened slightly three days from Brazil's polarizing presidential runoff election, according to a poll published Thursday.

> Lula has 53 percent voter support to 47 percent for Bolsonaro, according to the poll from the Datafolha institute - up from a four-point gap the previous week.

> Lula, the charismatic but tarnished ex-president who led Brazil from 2003 to 2010, won the first round of the election on October 2 with 48 percent of the vote, to 43 percent for former army captain Bolsonaro.


Extended Summary | FAQ | Feedback | Top keywords: percent^#1 Bolsonaro^#2 vote^#3 poll^#4 Lula^#5

2

__The__Anomaly__ t1_iu20esy wrote

Bolsanaro makes Trump look tame. So I hope this Silva guy wins.

67

SimmonsReqNDA4Sex t1_iu21gga wrote

I'm surprised Silva would even be able to win. I would have thought Bolsonaro would have done everything he could to cheat or make voting harder. If he loses will he try not to leave?

37

Pabrinex t1_iu21ky7 wrote

Has Lula stepped back from any of his pro-Venezuela/Russia positions?

No wonder this election is so close when he can't distance himself from Venezuelan socialists.

−5

white111 t1_iu26rey wrote

Probably : "He’s stated that only God could remove him from office and has for most of his four years in government sought to undermine institutions that impose checks and balances on his powers. He has repeatedly cast doubt about the reliability of the country’s electronic voting system, even claiming without proof that the 2018 election was rigged against him because he didn’t win in the first round." - Washington Post.

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Nouseriously t1_iu2dvck wrote

800% chance that Bolsonaro goes full Trump and claims he got robbed. Unfortunately, democratic norms are weak enough in Brazil that he might get away with just refusing to leave.

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Krabban t1_iu2jein wrote

He may be 'leftist' but I have no doubt that he'll be as corrupt as every other Brazilian politician. Still marginally better than Bolsonaro I suppose, although that's not a high bar.

9

mitsukilua t1_iu2uoec wrote

Lula ladrão, roubou meu coração ❤️ AQUI É PT!!!

1

Zormac t1_iu2y1mg wrote

He is known to be corrupt. He was president for two terms, stole people's money and was thrown in jail during Operation Car Wash. Somehow his lawyers got him free and now he's running for a third term. If he wins, he will be the second longest running president in Brazilian history, after Getúlio Vargas (18.5 years).

4

khamike t1_iu2z9h8 wrote

A hard race to get excited about either side.

−2

AltNationReality t1_iu31z59 wrote

Not holding out much hope for Brazil...... Crazy or Corruption...... Choose now.

−1

Bemxuu t1_iu3b0yw wrote

Logically, yes. Psychologically, no.

It's a bit like a trolley problem: you have 5 people on 1st track, 1 on 2nd track, and trolley is running towards the 1st. You can pull the lever and save 4 people - but your mind will get fixated on you killing that poor 1.

Speaking of which, I highly recommend VSauce's "Mind field" series. I think s2e1 was dedicated to it, I think.

1

OrderlyPanic t1_iu3ds91 wrote

Operation Car Wash was 100% discredited as politicized - including the lead prosecutors colluding with Judges - and his case specifically was a sham. That is why he's free.

24

OrderlyPanic t1_iu3dumh wrote

Bolsonaro has close ties to Russia and China too. He visited Moscow after the invasion of Ukraine.

No matter who wins Brazil will remain neutral in the great power political chess game. But only one of the two candidates is a fascist who is burning down the Amazon.

17

GOD_oy t1_iu3kjg3 wrote

his party leaded the 2 biggest corruption scandals in brazilian history when in power (only one wasnt enough to get hid of them, now people want them back).

he was the president during part of both scandals, his successor Dilma was the president when the second one was found.

i mean, i usually null my vote, but i still prefer the forest burners and no vacs than a "cleptocrat" (as said by a supreme court minister)

−8

GOD_oy t1_iu3kyhw wrote

no, he's free because they magically figured out that the operation shouldn't be in Curitiba, but in another place. Thats the reason they said. They literally couldn't use any proof the discredit the car wash since telegrams message that says about nothing and were taken by a hacker cant be used as proof.

we all know that the supreme court became heavily politized, for me its rather strange people that hates Eduardo Cunha and Renan Calheiros siding with their same interests simply because they like a personality.

4

GOD_oy t1_iu3l3g4 wrote

venezuela, iran, cuba, nicaragua...

i think theres some kind of fetish on anything that challenges the US, even if its a bloody dictatorship.

2

Bemxuu t1_iu3m1li wrote

That sometimes having no choice is better from some perspectives. Sorry if I did not deliver that thought, I should've specified.

Edit: Also, sorry for even bringing it up, but that episode left a lasting impression on me, and I can't stop recalling it whenever anyone says having some choice is better than having none.

2

lolpostslol t1_iu41ubo wrote

Old Latin-American leftism is decidedly nationalist since it was essentially USSR-instigated hate on US capitalism, with a tinge of pan-Latin-Americanism and “Cuba is great”. After the USSR failed the Brazilian left in particular was left with decent funds and power but not much of an aim, and Lula made it into a more moderate center-left thing, with a go-ahead from financial markets, that was tame enough to actually get elected (and stayed in power for 16 years). BUT even he still has some of the anti-US revolutionary feel left lol

1

lolpostslol t1_iu42kzt wrote

He’s more on the “we got cheated” side like Trump. The current supreme courts were largely appointed by Lula’s party in the past and have taken some actually questionable action against Bolsonaro propaganda, which gave him ammunition to go back to a discourse of questioning the election. To be fair, before the courts acted to reduce his screen time and censor opposing media, he was turning the tables to win the election, so court action was pretty obviously politically motivated (and might have been worth it for the PT).

Rhetoric aside this is the only thing that is ACTUALLY at stake in this election, SC justice appointments: if Lula wins he’ll have full control of the top-level legal system again, if Bolsonaro wins he’ll have some control. Either will try to eliminate the other using this.

−5

hornet0123 t1_iu43blr wrote

Why does every election everywhere seem to be between one totally evil choice vs a slightly less evil one

0

psholln t1_iu48vq6 wrote

There were two Habeas Corpus. One regarding the partiality of Moro and one regarding the territorial competence of the 13th Federal Court of Curitiba. The second one was judged first, and lead to the release of Lula. However, the second one was also judged to be in the right and the partiality of Moro was recognized by the Supreme Court

3

xenoghost1 t1_iu4amjn wrote

there is no debate on the division, but Lula isn't the media circus that lead to the dilma impeachment, rightward lunge, and ultimately the election of Jair

the only fault of lula is the whole kangaroo trial headed by moro

13

_AtLeastItsAnEthos t1_iu4frof wrote

He is the most beloved president in brazils history. History rates of lifting people out of poverty. Smashing child hunger, etc…. Idk how you could possibly look at lulas 8 years and not see a good President.

4

Synchrotr0n t1_iu4l69h wrote

First of all, the bribing of congressmen in exchange for favorable vote for legislation is a form of corruption inherent of the Brazilian congress, not of the president itself. It wasn't invented by neither Lula or Bolsonaro, but both took part of it because if they didn't they could easily get impeached by the congress over "technicalities", which is exactly what happened with Dilma Rousseff who had a more hardline approach against corruption.

Having said that, the amount of money that Lula's government spent on this scheme pales in comparison to what Bolsonaro did by a order of magnitude, aside from the type of legislation that Bolsonaro bought from congress that only favored the economical elite in the country in detriment of the poor and the middle class.

1

manhachuvosa t1_iu4nj2h wrote

What are you guys even talking about?

Brazil doesn't owe any money to IMF. Lula paid all the debt in his first government and then actually lended money to IMF.

4

Bulk-Purchase t1_iu5bbfq wrote

So fucking scary that someone would vote for Bolsonaro, much less almost half…

1

ShenmeNamaeSollich t1_iu5rw9b wrote

Always funny to hear the media talk about this “Bolsonaro was an Army Captain so the military supports him …”

He was in for ~15yrs and didn’t make it beyond Company Grade Officer. He never had any serious responsibility and was effectively booted out for insubordination and a potential terrorist plot! Dude was a shit officer and an alleged traitor.

He’s a useful idiot and a puppet for other hardline right-wingers. Not some beloved military hero.

4

Hikorijas t1_iu67hxj wrote

Not true. He vetoed the first time, possibly to not look complicit, and didn't the second time, and the congressmen who were in favour of it weren't from PT but instead from Bolsonaro's party and his allies.

2