idranh

idranh t1_j8uj4t3 wrote

Reply to comment by izumi3682 in From Bing to Sydney - Something is profoundly changing. AI expert is surprised and amazed. by izumi3682

Well, I just gave you an upvote! People would be fine with your predictions if it was 2125-2132. Epochal events happening within their lifetimes and so close too? It's bound to get a negative reaction. I do respect the fact you've stuck with your guns and held your own feet to the fire.

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idranh t1_j3izdwx wrote

Reply to comment by izumi3682 in ‘Killer robots’ and AI’s ‘dirty little secret’: Many people prefer robots over humans by izumi3682

>What year will prices for everything drop precipitously as a "post-scarcity" economy takes hold in the USA? Alternatively, when will UBI be available in the USA?

Tony Seba and his think tank RethinkX believe this will happen by the end of the decade at the earliest and the middle of the next decade at the latest. It seems fantastical and far too close, but they understand exponential growth and they have a history of being right. And all of this doesn't take AGI or transformative AI into consideration. Things are about to get crazy.

https://www.rethinkx.com/getting-it-right

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idranh t1_ixa01xa wrote

Reply to comment by AI_Enjoyer87 in How much time until it happens? by CookiesDeathCookies

It took me a long time to believe that AGI was even possible. Once I came around a couple of years ago, 2045 sounded far enough away to be plausible. This past year has really shaken that, I'm in the AGI by 2030 camp now, and if advancements accelerate in 2023 who knows? What a time to be alive.

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idranh t1_ix9kl3r wrote

Reply to comment by AI_Enjoyer87 in How much time until it happens? by CookiesDeathCookies

I honestly don't know anymore, things are going faster than expected, which is why I've stopped making predictions. But I am interested if your predictions have changed within the last year. What was the timeline you envisioned in the beginning of 2022?

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idranh t1_ix8mjkl wrote

Reply to comment by GeneralZain in Magic3D: High-Resolution Text-to-3D Content Creation (NVIDIA) by nick7566

Timelines are getting shorter and shorter, at least it feels that way. I've recently come around to AGI in 2029, but this year it feels like AGI might happen sooner. 2025 was the year things would get weird, but that could be next year! I'm on this sub and r/Futurology all the time and I'm having a hard time keeping up! I fear the rest of the decade is going to be destabilizing. The 20s are going to be a trip, the decade started with a once-in-a-century global pandemic! How will it end?

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idranh t1_ix8elha wrote

Reply to comment by GeneralZain in Magic3D: High-Resolution Text-to-3D Content Creation (NVIDIA) by nick7566

You're right. Once these advancements get on the radar of the public as a whole.... things will get crazy. Future Shock anyone? We're really not built to understand exponential growth, even people on this sub. I remember you saying text-video would follow quickly after Dalle-2 dropped and people here were saying 5-10 years! The next couple of years are going to be WILD.

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idranh t1_iuumol9 wrote

Reply to comment by Talkat in Most impressive Text to Video Generator so far (Google AI) by Janicc

>The pace is staggering. We could be 2 years away from high quality Hollywood style movies which emotionally is unbelievable but logically a very real possibility.
>
>Hollywood movies take years of preproduction, shooting and postproduction. Movies and scripts that are just getting greenlight could be near valueless by the time they are finished.
>
>That is insane.

The amount of creativity that this is going to unleash will be insane. Imagine n Ao3, but instead of fanfiction stories it's chock-full of films and tv shows with high production quality all AI-generated, but the story and script are human created.

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