yes exactly, the people saying it's $1k have no idea what anything is worth. A personal maid that does all the chores 24/7 would cost around $50k.

You're saying a robot that cooks and cleans for you is worth less than $1k? That's laughable. It's easily worth like $50k. If there were other robots on the market, then it would go down to like $25k. A few generations later it would come down to like $10k. I would pay pretty much any price for a robot that can do everything a human can.

I think I'll wait for Andrew Huberman to make a video on this

a few decades, so 30 years? No, not a chance. We'll have a powerful general AI that can do the majority of knowledge tasks in just 5-7 years.

this is called Gell-Mann Amnesia

assuming no nuclear apocalypse, then yeah it's inevitable, and will happen within 50 years imo.

the unemployment numbers are going to shock everyone very soon. It will be so fast. We are not ready.

the next 10 years will be beyond your wildest dreams. Biotech revolution will happen, just like the internet or computing revolution before it.

yes they will rebel, but it will be the same as how vegans don't eat animal products. In the future there will be lots of people that choose not to use AI. They will choose to live simple lives, and they'll be fine.

i agree with this take. Much more chaos, much more competition. Things will happen so fast that basically the life expectancy of an idea will be less than a few days, because a super smart AI on the other side of the world will already have taken advantage of it. Humans will not be able to keep up, most will have to just watch from the sidelines. Certain pockets of the world, like Silicon Valley, will get exponentially more advanced as the AI self-improves. There will be mass unemployment as these AIs take over most day to day operations. UBI is instituted. Cost of everything trends to $0. A thousand dollars is enough to live like a prince. Maybe money itself loses value. Society will need to be restructured. The idea of "work" is meaningless.

Very impressive. I'd say AI music is pretty much completely solved in 12-24 months. Next is text-to-video, then text-to-3Dworld.

I can make predictions. I'm guessing ageing is cured in 10-15 years

I said this exact thing about a month ago in the learnprogramming subreddit and got downvoted into oblivion.

I wonder if BCIs will ever be able to cure speech impediments and stutters. I would imagine Elon Musk would like that very much

I can't help but think of Liv Boeree talking about Moloch on Lex Fridman's podcast.

It will happen in your life time, especially since we'll likely get AGI within 10 years (imo)

I think AI will significantly affect gaming, both the gameplay and the computer graphics rendering. I think those two improvements will make VR much more compelling. Right now most people don't see the point of VR, but that will soon change.

low. at most 5%. Although 5% is still high.

Your prediction and the 2027 prediction could both be right. DeepMind and OpenAI could have something that looks like AGI in 2027, but they keep it within the lab for another 3 years just testing it and building safeguards. Then in the 30s they go public with it and it begins proliferating. Then maybe it takes 10 years for it to transform manufacturing, agriculture, robotics, medicine, and the wider population, etc, due to regulation, ethical concerns, and resource limits.

it's not just a prediction, it's a crowdsourced prediction. Statistically, crowdsourcing does better at converging to the actual answer.

This isn't the good stuff. The military has been working on fusion energy since the cold war. They've got amazing tech locked away in bunkers somewhere.

you contradict yourself. Why would large corporations lobby against UBI while also replacing their workers? That will just lead to mass unemployment, less aggregate demand, therefore less revenue for the company. The large companies want UBI so that everyone can still purchase goods and the economy still functions. Without an economy these corporations are irrelevant.

I would prefer if the AGI was created in the West rather than a totalitarian regime. So I will support the big tech companies like OpenAI and DeepMind

the ASI will be able to theoretically solve FDVR, and can show it working in a life-like simulation. Doesn't even need to rely on supply chains or manufacturing lead times.

in 5-10 years I expect we will get the Ready Player One type of full-dive VR, which is haptic suits and hyper-realistic graphics. It will cost many billions of dollars of R&D to achieve it, so I think only the large tech companies will get there (Meta, Apple, Google, Valve). But if we want Matrix style full-dive VR, that will take at minimum 15 years. I don't even think we are close to achieving that. It's a very tricky AI and neuroscience problem. Advances in AI will definitely accelerate the progress.